NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4914af622fc6269b09b4944d8086f3a995b9104bdbac5ae3a7384726e4c2d53a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 49c | 9,828$4,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,012.51 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 5,498$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Under | 16c | 4,013$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.2 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 2,502$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.23 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 67c | 2,073$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.03 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.77 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 1,485$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.24 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 51c | 1,226$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.07 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…19c1backed Under | 51c | 399.01$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 30c | 378.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked Under | 51c | 358.23$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 52c | 346.83$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 342.21$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.95 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 339.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 338.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 334.36$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.87 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 77c | 271.25$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 204.8$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 49c | 202.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 197.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Under | 22c | 137.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 51c | 132.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 100.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 85.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 52c | 61.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 47c | 52.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 52c | 41.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Under | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over | 67c | 28.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +11.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Over | 79c | 26.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 78c | 25.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 52c | 23.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Over | 60c | 21.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5this page
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Pelicans vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.