NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x548a02abeaabea4a6c65c2f445e26b57e055142381b7d5f6d24d2728417a4528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 10,530$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,285.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 9,757$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,878.54 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 9,233$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,529.93 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 8,545$4,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,311.5 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 6,506$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.86 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 50c | 4,656$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 50c | 3,248$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.23 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 50c | 3,247$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.62 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 50c | 3,247$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.62 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 50c | 3,247$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.62 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 50c | 3,124$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.17 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 50c | 2,951$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.63 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 1,599$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.28 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 1,034$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 50c | 992.52$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.26 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 899.19$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.6 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 50c | 693.32$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.66 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 691.12$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.56 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under | 51c | 679.42$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.5 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 652.71$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.83 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 578.12$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.06 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Under | 51c | 551.2$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.49 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 535.85$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.28 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 535.56$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 499.78$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.89 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc197…7246backed Under | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 51c | 445.97$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.56 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 50c | 419.18$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.59 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 50c | 404.72$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.36 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 50c | 394.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 50c | 360.83$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.42 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Over | 50c | 329.8$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Under | 51c | 304.5$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.3 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Under | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 50c | 252.2$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 50c | 232.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 50c | 227.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 186.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.61 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 49c | 154.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 50c | 148.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…ce34backed Under | 51c | 133.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 50c | 124.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 50c | 124.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Under | 51c | 108.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Under | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 50c | 96.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 49c | 86.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…f684backed Under | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 50c | 58.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…27a0backed Under | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 55.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 45c | 54.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 50c | 47.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd946…0d96backed Over | 50c | 45.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Over | 50c | 43.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 50c | 43.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Over | 50c | 42.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Over | 50c | 41.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 36.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…3a70backed Under | 51c | 35.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84c…efd5backed Over | 50c | 35.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 34.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 50c | 31.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 75c | 29.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…c612backed Over | 50c | 26.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…aedbbacked Over | 74c | 25.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Over | 50c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Over | 50c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…edadbacked Under | 50c | 23.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 50c | 21.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Over | 50c | 21.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5this page
- Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Pelicans vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-16.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-17.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.