TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Pelicans, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$993,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,036,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $993,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Pelicans6c185,755$11,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,795.9611137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Pelicans6c100,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.9954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Pelicans7c66,094$4,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,626.5816346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Pelicans8c35,438$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,954.8915349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Pelicans7c35,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pelicans6c30,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.981,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Pelicans3c19,910$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.513245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans7c19,858$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Pelicans6c15,727$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.67337%27 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pelicans7c14,286$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans6c12,253$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.254,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70046928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pelicans0c7,466$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.958820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Pelicans7c7,388$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.1765939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pelicans7c5,094$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Pelicans7c5,000$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32543438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Pelicans8c4,724$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.9265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Pelicans7c4,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Pelicans10c3,940$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.9837355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Pelicans7c3,777$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.386440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Pelicans6c3,303$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.168026.3%21 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pelicans7c3,009$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.662,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad1…96cdbacked Pelicans6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Pelicans7c2,961$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.2524247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pelicans6c2,392$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4161336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans8c2,329$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.38,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Pelicans6c2,011$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.664528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0041…7dccbacked Pelicans6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202714.8%4 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed Pelicans10c2,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Pelicans7c2,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13048944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans7c1,731$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pelicans8c1,686$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.641,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Pelicans8c1,686$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Pelicans8c1,686$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6437647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pelicans8c1,686$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.641,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pelicans8c1,686$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6458953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Pelicans8c1,686$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Pelicans12c1,634$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0440133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Pelicans6c1,610$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.69330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba04…310bbacked Pelicans13c1,500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902528%7 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Pelicans1c1,484$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.823423.5%8 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Pelicans7c1,349$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4229848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Pelicans10c1,255$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9613560%81 W · 54 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Pelicans8c1,248$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.851,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Pelicans6c1,223$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Pelicans7c1,200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7868944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans6c1,182$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Pelicans8c1,150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9226048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Pelicans8c1,027$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8719254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Pelicans7c1,010$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.711239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Pelicans7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Pelicans7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Pelicans7c999.95$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-85.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x696c…dbe6backed Pelicans6c999.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Pelicans11c999.89$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9995641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Pelicans13c993.17$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.313842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Pelicans8c986.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Pelicans8c986.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Pelicans8c986.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Pelicans7c944.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0919735%69 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce6…e378backed Pelicans7c944.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.092722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Pelicans10c941.66$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9560944.8%273 W · 336 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Pelicans8c923.54$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8816048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Pelicans8c909.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7241753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pelicans6c808.91$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.531,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…cbb2backed Pelicans12c789.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.723154.8%17 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb68e…30cfbacked Pelicans8c785.47$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.843860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pelicans5c782.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1572648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92a6…19bbbacked Pelicans7c756.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-42.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Pelicans8c749.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6653348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c90…c394backed Pelicans3c734.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.495724.6%14 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Pelicans6c699.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4225236.9%93 W · 159 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf98a…f376backed Pelicans7c674.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.212832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Pelicans8c659.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7811648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Pelicans8c659.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.788755.2%48 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Pelicans8c659.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7823445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Pelicans8c659.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7822047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pelicans8c659.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Pelicans8c659.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7856447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Pelicans7c631.07$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2225348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Pelicans8c590.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2444347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ac…6ab1backed Pelicans8c590.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.24119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Pelicans8c590.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2457051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Pelicans8c590.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2417247.7%82 W · 90 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Pelicans8c582.19$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Pelicans7c566.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6626530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Pelicans6c553.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2124841.1%102 W · 146 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Pelicans8c520.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6733139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Pelicans11c518.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1818438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad7f…92b5backed Pelicans8c489.26$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.141225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Pelicans7c486.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0811738.5%45 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Pelicans8c451.87$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1521354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aad…5ab3backed Pelicans6c429.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.792236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pelicans8c427.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.222,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfad4…379bbacked Pelicans7c415.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0810347.6%49 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Pelicans8c413.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0736852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Pelicans10c399.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036843.8%161 W · 207 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Pelicans6c393.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.593935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Pelicans7c392.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4710252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Pelicans7c387.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3337853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.