TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5aad…5ab3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$32.96
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
Pelicans vs. Celticsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.79
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Spread: 76ers (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.8
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.58
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$32.62
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.86
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.04
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.38
Suns vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
All 22 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.94
San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.97
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Houston Astros vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.91
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.29
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.11
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$24.72
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.74
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.98
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$14.69
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$18.38
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
LoL: Movistar KOI vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.17
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$92.23
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Execration (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$17.67
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+102%+$24.07
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.72
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.11
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.05
Spread: Stanford Cardinal (-1.5)backed West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cádiz CF vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP dip to $1.20 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.