Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cde7fad36f21c6a4d388e9b1b808f1441f275510164523303da6b1102dbdb87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $307,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 217,710$106,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,598.29 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 196,019$99,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,025.83 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 7,939$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.4 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 6,822$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.77 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 6,443$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.31 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 5,677$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.1 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.91 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 4,850$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 4,476$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.31 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 3,077$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.11 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 2,209$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.57 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,161$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.4 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 2,138$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.93 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,079$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.03 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,995$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.15 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,975$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.62 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.19 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,877$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.47 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,860$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,820$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.74 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 1,748$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.93 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,303$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.25 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,277$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.24 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,228$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 1,102$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.96 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 985$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…4dadbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.27 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 44cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 849.39$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 824.27$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.15 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 732$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.68 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 730$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.7 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 639.88$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.37 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 635.07$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.43 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 631.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.64 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 584.45$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.38 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 543.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.42 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 538.68$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.95 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 471.52$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.74 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 459.51$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 435.02$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.58 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 434$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 418.93$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.46 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 417.86$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.93 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 395.2$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 349.46$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 315.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.97 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 310.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…2779backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 303.35$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 295.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 274.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 249.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 227.48$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -84%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…55f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 223.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…e96fbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 209.83$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 207.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 199.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 196.88$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 196.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 194.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…9be5backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 170.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 165.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 127.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 125.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 116.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 112.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 111.21$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…9476backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 108.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 106.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…b8aabacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 100.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…e43ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 94.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5c…a045backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 91.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…5491backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 81.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 80.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 75.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…1a19backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 67.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf727…2aecbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 67.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 67.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 62.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.