TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa11c…e96f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$4.6
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$47.43
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.48
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.06
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.86
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,332Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$1,182.77
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$340.1
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,541Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$1,563.66
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Team Lynx (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,898Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,898.2
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,751Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$1,150.76
Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked ALIS VENTORUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$1,189.62
Dota 2: ALIS VENTORUS vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked ALIS VENTORUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$916.82
Dota 2: Carstensz vs GLYPH (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$266.56
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$254.48
Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+177.9%+$2,229.3
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$172.04
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$200.69
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$47.71
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosabacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,681Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$1,304.14
Wuning 2: Linang Xiao vs Blake Ellisbacked Linang Xiao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,456.83
Tallahassee: Liam Draxl vs Kaylan Bigunbacked Kaylan Bigun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,813.48
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Viktoriya Tomova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$956.7
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,665.79
Oeiras 3: Sinja Kraus vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$429.26
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,081Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$772.26
BMW Open: Sumit Nagal vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.3
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$193.97
BMW Open, Qualification: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Sumit Nagalbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$88.82
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Viktoriya Tomovabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$61.98
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Alina Charaeva vs Jessica Pieribacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.29
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.29
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$629.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$343.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,515Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+56.3%+$852.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$23.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,526Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$476.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$16.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.