Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd52ebab99583b895d02a4094e10b5f1f7bd1e57c1ffc44a89ee3eb545a77ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof Nigma Galaxy, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 5,400$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.17 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 5,113$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.3 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked South America Rejects | 64c | 4,677$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.71 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 4,579$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.62 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 4,091$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed South America Rejects | 51c | 3,886$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.26 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed South America Rejects | 48c | 3,746$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.45 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 3,554$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.38 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed South America Rejects | 54c | 3,250$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.81 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 2,343$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 2,219$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed South America Rejects | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 2,088$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.21 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed South America Rejects | 49c | 1,667$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 1,074$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed South America Rejects | 60c | 1,054$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.67 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed South America Rejects | 46c | 1,012$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.34 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.65 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed South America Rejects | 52c | 860.01$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.01 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked South America Rejects | 61c | 707.23$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.18 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 589.41$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked South America Rejects | 46c | 560.42$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.63 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked South America Rejects | 50c | 560$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.8 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed South America Rejects | 59c | 512.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.41 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed South America Rejects | 47c | 511.74$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed South America Rejects | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked South America Rejects | 49c | 475.91$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.91 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked South America Rejects | 43c | 405.68$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 403.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 397.52$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 349.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed South America Rejects | 75c | 333.33$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked South America Rejects | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed South America Rejects | 58c | 276.02$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.93 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 248.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 219.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects | 67c | 203.81$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 200.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 192.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 192.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…c787backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed South America Rejects | 51c | 175$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc301…6760backed Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 172.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked South America Rejects | 68c | 170$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed South America Rejects | 64c | 150.68$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 148.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 141.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 124.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 124.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 113.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 102.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked South America Rejects | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 86.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked South America Rejects | 59c | 81.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 80.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked South America Rejects | 49c | 80.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Nigma Galaxy | 17c | 76.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…2fe5backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 71.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed South America Rejects | 41c | 63.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 53.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 49.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…e96fbacked South America Rejects | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked South America Rejects | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…baa3backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked South America Rejects | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4954…ac42backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 29.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed South America Rejects | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 3 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.