Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc45da9c57ac43b077c29c1da76c4f23561b7869d08a8f56a3385122bdf69aa1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof Nigma Galaxy, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 17,693$6,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,771.42 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 11,874$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.03 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed South America Rejects | 53c | 8,987$4,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,224.53 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked South America Rejects | 56c | 7,322$4,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.98 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed South America Rejects | 63c | 7,322$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.23 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked South America Rejects | 52c | 7,010$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.37 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed South America Rejects | 62c | 6,693$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.18 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 6,128$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 5,859$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed South America Rejects | 61c | 5,720$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.33 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 5,428$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.12 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed South America Rejects | 66c | 4,477$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.44 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked South America Rejects | 59c | 3,044$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.14 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked South America Rejects | 53c | 2,630$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.52 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 2,339$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 2,239$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 2,225$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…d0a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,964$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.08 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed South America Rejects | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,792$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.26 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,773$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.08 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects | 60c | 1,673$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.42 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked South America Rejects | 63c | 1,567$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.99 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed South America Rejects | 64c | 1,566$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.67 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,538$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 1,509$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.18 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,500$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed South America Rejects | 61c | 1,345$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.76 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,231$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.62 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…29e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,163$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked South America Rejects | 59c | 1,130$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.93 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,028$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.15 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,027$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.94 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked South America Rejects | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed South America Rejects | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked South America Rejects | 50c | 994$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked South America Rejects | 80c | 983.97$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 980.37$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.1 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed South America Rejects | 63c | 959.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed South America Rejects | 61c | 877.74$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.01 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 835.3$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.45 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 801.68$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 797.94$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.19 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9e…3cb9backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 790.23$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed South America Rejects | 67c | 749.98$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed South America Rejects | 60c | 718.07$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.07 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 12c | 689.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed South America Rejects | 60c | 683.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.34 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked South America Rejects | 53c | 682.41$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 655.49$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.33 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed South America Rejects | 57c | 623.4$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked South America Rejects | 57c | 616.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.71 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked South America Rejects | 55c | 595.5$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 570.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed South America Rejects | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked South America Rejects | 56c | 519.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.89 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 503.15$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked South America Rejects | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 482.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 476.28$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 473$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.85 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 467.36$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 466.43$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.91 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…ef5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 425.6$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 418.18$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 415.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 409.37$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed South America Rejects | 59c | 392.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.13 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed South America Rejects | 62c | 356.05$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed South America Rejects | 52c | 329.84$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 322.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6182…10c8backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 319.49$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 312.94$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked South America Rejects | 68c | 300$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked South America Rejects | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 289.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 285$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 275.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked South America Rejects | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 249.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed South America Rejects | 59c | 248.16$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 233.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe996…3836backed South America Rejects | 61c | 232.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53d6…c414backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…2c38backed Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 219.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects | 78c | 215.37$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 203.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed South America Rejects | 55c | 192.01$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 189.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed South America Rejects | 62c | 184.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.