Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb548aed850fa00fb5191a1200c64d17d9139d067fa8559ef738287b78be50486
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof Nigma Galaxy, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed South America Rejects | 53c | 7,413$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.09 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 7,401$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.54 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed South America Rejects | 52c | 7,181$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.47 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed South America Rejects | 56c | 6,981$3,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.46 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 5,409$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.08 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked South America Rejects | 53c | 4,200$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.96 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 3,241$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.99 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed South America Rejects | 50c | 3,095$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.55 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 23c | 2,106$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.68 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…d0a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,954$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.7 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,952$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.37 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed South America Rejects | 64c | 1,641$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.17 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,628$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.91 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked South America Rejects | 53c | 1,413$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.1 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed South America Rejects | 51c | 1,279$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked South America Rejects | 44c | 1,148$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.33 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,117$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 1,062$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.61 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,048$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.15 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 1,024$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.58 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked South America Rejects | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked South America Rejects | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 994$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 913.27$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.24 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 913.27$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.24 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 900.42$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.2 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 860.92$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked South America Rejects | 54c | 765.41$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.41 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked South America Rejects | 49c | 718.46$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.41 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 655.1$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 640$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.2 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 625.4$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 625.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed South America Rejects | 56c | 579$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 519.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 478.72$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked South America Rejects | 50c | 470$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed South America Rejects | 52c | 466.24$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.33 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed South America Rejects | 45c | 426$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 422.55$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked South America Rejects | 49c | 411.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.38 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 400$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed South America Rejects | 51c | 397.61$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 390.37$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed South America Rejects | 70c | 390$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 380.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed South America Rejects | 50c | 379.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.25 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects | 46c | 379.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.92 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 369.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.19 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked South America Rejects | 53c | 321.53$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.53 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 320.79$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.21 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked South America Rejects | 55c | 306.78$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.42 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed South America Rejects | 49c | 299.95$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.83 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 265.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed South America Rejects | 47c | 261.54$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 249.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…29e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 55c | 241.54$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects | 59c | 235.56$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed South America Rejects | 53c | 216.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 213.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed South America Rejects | 48c | 210.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked South America Rejects | 48c | 208.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 207.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 204.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 201.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 200.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…2fe5backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…baa3backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 187.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed South America Rejects | 55c | 181.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe996…3836backed South America Rejects | 77c | 180.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects | 53c | 177.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed South America Rejects | 53c | 156.3$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed South America Rejects | 61c | 152$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 147.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed South America Rejects | 52c | 144.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed South America Rejects | 52c | 130$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Nigma Galaxy | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed South America Rejects | 54c | 128.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4f…c208backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 119.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked South America Rejects | 53c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 111$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…39d9backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 109.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed South America Rejects | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked South America Rejects | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…e96fbacked South America Rejects | 49c | 93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…a365backed South America Rejects | 60c | 90.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 84.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…08e5backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs South America Rejects - Game 3 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.