Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f838192fd87d515f9b83c5f7b96f0337f0c0ffa451c29e6427e4da3b31a3f54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 9c | 8,608$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.72 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 6,365$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 38c | 1,871$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.97 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 59c | 859.73$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.23 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 807.07$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.08 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…dc9ebacked Yes | 68c | 746.35$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 65c | 680.46$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.3 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 51c | 581.43$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.1 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 36c | 555$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…7422backed Yes | 61c | 533.6$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 76c | 399.95$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb602…1991backed Yes | 19c | 380.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed No | 3c | 335.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked No | 28c | 332.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 329.84$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 313.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked Yes | 14c | 284.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed Yes | 14c | 284.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +524.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Yes | 10c | 283.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.42 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 56c | 234.35$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.84 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 9c | 210.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.18 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 203.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.29 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…8715backed Yes | 16c | 183.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 10c | 180.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 74c | 164.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 160$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…e96fbacked Yes | 62c | 152.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 149.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Yes | 52c | 149.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 76c | 131.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…97ebbacked Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 69c | 114.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed No | 51c | 107.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561a…7be2backed Yes | 72c | 101.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 22c | 99.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 15c | 99.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 77c | 96.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 77c | 96.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 36c | 93.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 13c | 87.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…ee45backed Yes | 57c | 86.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…2f32backed No | 36c | 72.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Yes | 68c | 72.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 36c | 65.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes | 53c | 58.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 63c | 53.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 38c | 50.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…e634backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 35c | 47.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 38c | 46.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 68c | 40.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 76c | 38.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 76c | 38.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 53c | 36.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…4f52backed Yes | 59c | 33.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 80c | 29.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…e903backed Yes | 77c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 67c | 22.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked No | 57c | 22.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked Yes | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Yes | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?this page
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.