TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe592…691a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$129.19
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$481.54
Will Santos FC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.21
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.54
Will Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.52
Will Cusco FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.8
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+45%+$98.72
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$126.42
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.73
Will Santos FC vs. SC Internacional end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.77
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$4.3
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$36
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.26per pick56cpaid+32.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.74
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$63.79
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$67.1
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$29.4
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$373.96
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$80.09
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$75.61
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+36%+$15.87
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.09
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+52%+$30.73
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$137.5
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.68
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$95.38
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+203.6%+$71.68
Will FC Groningen vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.25
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.25
Will NEC vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$94.87
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.66
Will FC Arouca vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.7
Will US Cremonese vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$64.7
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$54.47
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$147.1
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.57
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.31
Will Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$37.61
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$39.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-62%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$15.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.