Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c63f0b5e32c3f65698d2969beb02529317ac8da99b1f171b1d826e38e863cf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,348 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 28c | 87,920$24,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,977.12 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 72c | 22,730$16,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,476.92 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 21,651$14,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,223.8 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 14,956$10,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.79 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 14,373$9,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.74 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 14,356$10,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.57 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 8,598$5,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 50c | 5,002$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 3,645$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.6 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes | 27c | 2,507$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 12c | 2,420$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 73c | 2,070$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…84c1backed Yes | 48c | 1,481$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 72c | 1,400$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.68 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 72c | 1,335$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.9 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 47c | 1,181$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 72c | 1,043$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.05 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 22c | 996.14$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.15 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 958.81$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 792.21$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.99 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 724.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.83 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 59c | 712.36$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.23 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 50c | 660$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 35c | 655.58$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 72c | 649$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.72 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 56c | 608.82$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.52 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 75c | 514.21$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 60c | 502.27$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…834cbacked Yes | 67c | 496.14$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 73c | 408.95$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 36c | 398.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.24 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 355.51$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 72c | 253.86$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 35c | 253.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.86 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 245.89$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 12c | 234.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed No | 72c | 231.1$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 64c | 203.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 73c | 192.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 35c | 178.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 52c | 176.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 175.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Yes | 11c | 152.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…fd08backed Yes | 27c | 145.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 50c | 140.51$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…691abacked Yes | 60c | 140$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -62%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Yes | 63c | 137$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 135.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…602fbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 46c | 131.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 13c | 130.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 27c | 129$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 73c | 110.39$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 27c | 108$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 25c | 106.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87b…b4c4backed Yes | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…68f8backed Yes | 39c | 103.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 32c | 98.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 29c | 98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 49c | 96.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 74c | 93.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 91.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 62c | 89.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 28c | 81.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 73c | 78.07$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…a2cabacked No | 74c | 77.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 54c | 75.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 41c | 73.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…4dbfbacked No | 74c | 73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1828…6946backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 53c | 70.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 27c | 70.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…88c2backed No | 74c | 65.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…7926backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Yes | 28c | 60.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 58c | 51.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…636ebacked Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked No | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 56c | 47.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 68c | 46.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 27c | 46.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.