TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc255…68f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Tweets at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs megoshort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$30.33
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Phantom (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+51%+$102.02
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - Journey Group Abacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$66.35
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MINLATE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$17.65
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$86.57
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.59
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.03
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: ENCE Academy vs MASONIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$42.54
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked Back to Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$42.71
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$65.17
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$81.93
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs aimclub (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group Cbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$68.16
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs Ursa (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$18.04
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.69
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.44
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.19
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yokkaichi: James McCabe vs Andre Ilaganbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$76.51
Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$32.08
Miami Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Colton Smithbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$648Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$193.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked FunPlus Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$10.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.