NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a66938b3919b0150696b23ef354246c856d2a65000768d0ce4f23a6ec61d571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,476 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 48c | 19,710$9,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,460.78 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 52c | 16,214$8,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,782.72 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 50c | 15,074$7,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,536.96 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 12,500$6,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,879.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 10,280$5,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,307.73 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 49c | 9,261$4,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,517.27 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Over | 52c | 7,665$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 51c | 6,497$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.39 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Under | 48c | 4,880$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.56 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 4,455$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.86 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 4,226$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.56 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 3,772$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.39 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 52c | 3,465$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.42 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 3,317$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…fd22backed Over | 52c | 3,092$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…2a72backed Under | 48c | 2,975$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…63b3backed Under | 48c | 2,958$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…2996backed Over | 52c | 2,921$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…c497backed Over | 52c | 2,845$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 52c | 2,800$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…c5f9backed Under | 48c | 2,792$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…b2d5backed Over | 52c | 2,727$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2857backed Under | 50c | 2,727$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…6552backed Over | 52c | 2,713$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…43ffbacked Under | 48c | 2,672$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…9fcdbacked Under | 48c | 2,661$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178b…ea4bbacked Under | 48c | 2,659$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4e…baa9backed Over | 52c | 2,608$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…5a70backed Over | 52c | 2,538$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Over | 47c | 2,126$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.53 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Over | 52c | 1,907$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.19 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe39…5c3cbacked Over | 47c | 1,872$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 52c | 1,792$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.31 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 53c | 1,732$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 1,594$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 52c | 1,590$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.2 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Over | 51c | 1,459$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.82 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 51c | 1,278$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.27 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…a09bbacked Over | 54c | 1,211$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 1,088$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Under | 48c | 900$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 833.23$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.01 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 76c | 829.12$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.43 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 703.16$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 593.41$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Over | 52c | 580$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 52c | 404.05$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8897…149bbacked Under | 62c | 401.94$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…be56backed Under | 49c | 401.27$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Over | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 24c | 394.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…4d1cbacked Over | 52c | 394.21$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 34c | 363.22$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.28 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 47c | 332.23$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 46c | 308.54$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.81 | 182 | 35.7%65 W · 117 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…afacbacked Over | 51c | 284.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 46c | 225.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378e…b46fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…2987backed Under | 49c | 202.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 169.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b5…5512backed Under | 49c | 154$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 51c | 153$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb823…a5a0backed Over | 64c | 149.05$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 44cpaid | +186.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…a7eabacked Under | 48c | 144$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Over | 52c | 143.72$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 52cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…1f96backed Under | 49c | 142.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57b…778fbacked Under | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Under | 74c | 132.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Under | 53c | 126.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 56c | 123.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 118.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 21c | 113.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 112.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 109.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 53c | 107.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 49c | 107.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 48c | 104.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Under | 50c | 99.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 236.5this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)Magic won
- 1H Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jett Howard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jevon Carter: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Magic vs. HeatMagic won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineMagic won
- Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
- Magic vs. Heat: O/U 237.5Over won
- Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Magic won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Magic won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Tyler Herro: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.