NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Heat: O/U 237.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85db9305f822ad5268c2fd1c3883ada0940093f2d0e5a2c0e5c623dd0e06fd2c

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,886 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under	52c	27,124$14,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,053.47	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	15,084$7,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,817.02	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over	48c	8,777$4,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,563.98	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	48c	3,810$1,829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,981.38	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under	52c	3,462$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	252	48.4%122 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	46c	2,975$1,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,596.65	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd012…9e59backed Over	49c	2,811$1,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,433.61	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+50%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	53c	2,774$1,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,481.68	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under	58c	2,052$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over	42c	2,029$862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,167.04	263	37.3%98 W · 165 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8861…4c2ebacked Over	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	49c	1,775$866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865.64	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46a7…b600backed Under	51c	1,490$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.9	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-51%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	48c	1,485$717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$767.44	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe9c…dbaebacked Over	51c	1,014$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$496.73	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Over	63c	957.27$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.27	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	48c	945.17$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.49	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	30c	763.53$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.65	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over	74c	680.45$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.38	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77f9…2213backed Under	51c	679$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.29	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+50%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f8…f76bbacked Under	51c	642$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.42	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over	62c	635.63$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.59	766	53.5%410 W · 356 L	+65.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	48c	586.92$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.2	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	44c	517.46$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.79	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Over	64c	468.75$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.75	191	45.5%87 W · 104 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Under	52c	405.77$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Under	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Under	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	172	36%62 W · 110 L	-19.3wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Under	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Under	52c	347.83$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.43	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under	65c	308.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	274	62%170 W · 104 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	49c	299.94$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.97	206	47.6%98 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	51c	297.98$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.01	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under	23c	283.26$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.15	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	30c	268.43$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.27	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	48c	262.83$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.67	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over	50c	240.46$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.23	234	46.2%108 W · 126 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over	50c	238.57$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.58	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba84…d854backed Under	46c	229.13$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.69	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under	36c	219.66$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.29	182	35.7%65 W · 117 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Over	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	90	50%45 W · 45 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	48c	197.31$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.6	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	295	54.6%161 W · 134 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Under	79c	146.28$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.22	280	63.6%178 W · 102 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	191	66.5%127 W · 64 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Under	51c	127.23$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.89	58	50%29 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	56c	126$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.93	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over	50c	126$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	48c	124.76$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.69	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Under	51c	116.39$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.36	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-3.5wins	-0.17per pick	55cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	52c	101.84$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.53	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	50c	98.56$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.28	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d38…71efbacked Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over	48c	86.11$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.78	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	62c	85.26$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.78	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over	47c	81.64$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.27	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under	52c	80.35$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.78	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2281…d7a4backed Under	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0dc…d9b6backed Under	51c	79.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over	48c	74.96$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.98	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under	52c	61.92$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Under	35c	59.87$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.01	122	27%33 W · 89 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	43c	51.83$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	29c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	48c	46.61$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.24	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Under	50c	44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ff…78aebacked Under	32c	41.91$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.41	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	48c	39.11$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.32	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	51c	34.56$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.71	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf906…b98ebacked Over	65c	33.85$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.85	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	50c	33.45$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.76	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under	50c	33.45$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.64	156	63.5%99 W · 57 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Over	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over	50c	32$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	118	45.8%54 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over	72c	28.68$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.03	78	57.7%45 W · 33 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…4791backed Under	79c	24.3$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	78cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa991…f266backed Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4e…31cbbacked Under	65c	17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.05	167	50.9%85 W · 82 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Magic vs. Heat: O/U 237.5this page
1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)Magic won
1H Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 22.5No won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jalen Suggs: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jett Howard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Jevon Carter: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Magic vs. HeatMagic won
Magic vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineMagic won
Magic vs. Heat: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Over won
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 235.5Over won
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 236.5Over won
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Heat (-2.5)Magic won
Spread: Heat (-3.5)Magic won
Spread: Heat (-4.5)Magic won
Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 23.5No won
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Magic vs. Heat: O/U 237.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event