TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf906…b98e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$47.25
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.11
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$16.37
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.3
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$65.46
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+35%+$52.45
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+54%+$90.23
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+173.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+150.5%+$269.38
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.49
Spread: Senators (-1.5)backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Penguins vs. Utahbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.76
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$145.64
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+86.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$4.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Coventry City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$40.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$140.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.