Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa18c82bae717b113379d4f2efe201102c77b60486dc61747d4f09c315d80e104

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sinnerof Sinner, Medvedev
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $84,307

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,307 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbb2f…eca9backed Medvedev	45c	21,592$9,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,716.46	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked Sinner	55c	10,910$6,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,909.5	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Sinner	55c	8,396$4,618 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,778.26	202	61.4%124 W · 78 L	+11.4wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Medvedev	29c	5,000$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,449.98	104	40.4%42 W · 62 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Sinner	54c	4,855$2,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,233.2	430	51.2%220 W · 210 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sinner	66c	4,798$3,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,619.43	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Sinner	55c	4,590$2,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,081.59	101	56.4%57 W · 44 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Sinner	59c	4,373$2,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,772.95	369	68%251 W · 118 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaab0…126ebacked Medvedev	0c	4,184$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.09	70	67.1%47 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Sinner	56c	3,125$1,738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,386.8	118	52.5%62 W · 56 L	-8.5wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Medvedev	43c	2,586$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,121.23	131	35.9%47 W · 84 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Sinner	66c	2,225$1,474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$751.2	86	43%37 W · 49 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Medvedev	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	182	37.9%69 W · 113 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Medvedev	45c	1,846$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.76	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Medvedev	46c	1,533$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705	721	32%231 W · 490 L	-17.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Medvedev	33c	1,512$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.6	198	35.4%70 W · 128 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Medvedev	44c	1,218$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.67	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Sinner	67c	1,213$813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.58	87	28.7%25 W · 62 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Medvedev	45c	1,080$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.94	265	45.3%120 W · 145 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7424…ce06backed Medvedev	35c	1,046$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.97	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Medvedev	43c	1,001$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.31	4,076	39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L	+93.7wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Medvedev	45c	999.98$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.99	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Medvedev	38c	939.42$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.7	389	31.4%122 W · 267 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Medvedev	46c	928.73$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431	1,118	42.8%479 W · 639 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Sinner	52c	667.31$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.31	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Sinner	61c	664.37$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.04	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Sinner	56c	535.96$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.96	188	68.6%129 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Sinner	67c	499.99$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	281	41.6%117 W · 164 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Medvedev	31c	436.71$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.51	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-4.8wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Medvedev	47c	433.65$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.8	155	48.4%75 W · 80 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Medvedev	47c	421.84$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	427	43.8%187 W · 240 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe55a…da97backed Medvedev	51c	392.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Sinner	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Medvedev	58c	343.1$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Sinner	50c	270.58$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.12	353	60.9%215 W · 138 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Medvedev	49c	255.1$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	245	60%147 W · 98 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Sinner	55c	219.62$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.62	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Medvedev	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	146	39%57 W · 89 L	-14.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f50…8341backed Sinner	77c	203.08$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.99	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63ae…97c0backed Medvedev	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Sinner	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+3.7wins	+0.28per pick	41cpaid	+89.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Medvedev	54c	197.9$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	69	33.3%23 W · 46 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Sinner	55c	196.87$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.59	79	81%64 W · 15 L	+7.9wins	+0.10per pick	71cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Sinner	53c	189.99$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.3	255	46.3%118 W · 137 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Sinner	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	179	55.9%100 W · 79 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Medvedev	49c	163.88$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	848	57.4%487 W · 361 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Sinner	66c	151.02$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.35	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d3…2d0fbacked Sinner	48c	115.79$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.21	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Medvedev	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	509	52.1%265 W · 244 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Medvedev	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	354	39.8%141 W · 213 L	-15.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31db…0b29backed Medvedev	48c	104.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d3…91aabacked Medvedev	45c	100.13$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.06	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Sinner	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	1,158	44.4%514 W · 644 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b13…07f5backed Sinner	55c	99.84$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.93	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d7…0501backed Sinner	52c	95.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.91	30	73.3%22 W · 8 L	+4.3wins	+0.14per pick	59cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6dd8…39b1backed Medvedev	47c	91.49$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	182	48.9%89 W · 93 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Medvedev	56c	84.44$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.11	212	57.5%122 W · 90 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Sinner	57c	80$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.4	2,229	45%1,002 W · 1,227 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b27…7d50backed Medvedev	46c	80$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-6.3wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3663…a364backed Sinner	51c	75.48$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.75	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Sinner	56c	73.66$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.41	310	39.4%122 W · 188 L	-10.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d59…e0edbacked Sinner	48c	72.86$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.86	54	50%27 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Medvedev	42c	72.3$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.37	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Sinner	72c	71.06$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.08	355	59.4%211 W · 144 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Medvedev	26c	67.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Medvedev	59c	67.73$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.86	359	44.8%161 W · 198 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Medvedev	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Medvedev	55c	63.64$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	124	45.2%56 W · 68 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Sinner	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sinner	51c	63$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.87	7,139	49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L	+109.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf906…b98ebacked Medvedev	49c	62.81$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-38%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Medvedev	46c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	92	44.6%41 W · 51 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Medvedev	32c	59.01$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.92	3,270	13.8%450 W · 2,820 L	-549.1wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Sinner	56c	56.32$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.69	389	51.9%202 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Medvedev	36c	55.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6e59…c102backed Sinner	73c	52.66$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.22	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Sinner	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Medvedev	48c	50.65$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.31	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Medvedev	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	262	47.7%125 W · 137 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9416…5a15backed Medvedev	33c	49.75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.42	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc834…685fbacked Sinner	75c	46.67$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	10	100%10 W · 0 L	+3.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+53.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce6d…4968backed Sinner	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Sinner	45c	43.88$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.04	9,286	44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L	-245.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Medvedev	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	108	63.9%69 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Sinner	51c	41.39$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.28	237	50.6%120 W · 117 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35de…0f24backed Medvedev	48c	40.87$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.62	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.36per pick	56cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Medvedev	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	240	55%132 W · 108 L	-15.2wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ab3…d47cbacked Sinner	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Sinner	51c	37.38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.15	44	22.7%10 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Sinner	55c	37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	348	51.1%178 W · 170 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Medvedev	46c	34.52$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.88	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8417…df28backed Sinner	62c	34.44$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.13	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Medvedev	43c	34.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1be6…a7c1backed Medvedev	43c	33.05$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.29per pick	43cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Sinner	55c	27.42$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	425	45.6%194 W · 231 L	-11.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3b…980abacked Sinner	55c	26.53$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.94	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+111.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Medvedev	44c	25.14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebcb…dd4bbacked Sinner	57c	21.05$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.05	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Sinner	71c	20.66$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.98	701	48.2%338 W · 363 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae5…40e1backed Sinner	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)this page
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik SinnerJannik Sinner won
Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Medvedev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Medvedev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Medvedev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
Medvedev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs SinnerSinner won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event