Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb16e388d2ee406df09f6609113ff7d0a3fa179594a25bbb3a8eaf19852631d53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jannik Sinnerof Daniil Medvedev, Jannik Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,858,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,858,091 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 633 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81a9…581bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 19c | 528,254$99,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,969.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Jannik Sinner | 78c | 507,686$397,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,153.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 59,999$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,399.87 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…316cbacked Jannik Sinner | 68c | 54,326$37,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,297.34 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 47,841$10,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,521.26 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Daniil Medvedev | 11c | 44,954$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 43,409$9,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,984 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Daniil Medvedev | 21c | 40,425$8,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,293.51 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d7…0501backed Jannik Sinner | 77c | 39,584$30,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,070.41 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jannik Sinner | 78c | 31,000$24,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,876.4 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 30,619$6,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,729.94 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Daniil Medvedev | 21c | 30,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.98 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 26,343$5,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,927.14 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 25,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Daniil Medvedev | 24c | 19,000$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,540 | 743 | 43.7%325 W · 418 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 17,140$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.9 | 247 | 41.7%103 W · 144 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Jannik Sinner | 77c | 14,772$11,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.54 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Jannik Sinner | 79c | 14,473$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.13 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Daniil Medvedev | 15c | 13,555$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Jannik Sinner | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…02bfbacked Daniil Medvedev | 10c | 9,742$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Jannik Sinner | 66c | 9,372$6,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.55 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Daniil Medvedev | 19c | 9,125$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.78 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Daniil Medvedev | 15c | 9,035$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.26 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Daniil Medvedev | 34c | 9,000$3,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.37 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…ab69backed Jannik Sinner | 77c | 8,613$6,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…8f14backed Daniil Medvedev | 17c | 8,208$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…99acbacked Daniil Medvedev | 19c | 7,944$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.73 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…dd75backed Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 7,710$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jannik Sinner | 76c | 7,532$5,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.98 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…072dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 7,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…5825backed Jannik Sinner | 78c | 7,400$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Daniil Medvedev | 19c | 6,630$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 6,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.98 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 31c | 6,471$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Jannik Sinner | 78c | 6,410$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.26 | 438 | 63.9%280 W · 158 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 6,087$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Jannik Sinner | 77c | 6,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Jannik Sinner | 77c | 6,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Daniil Medvedev | 25c | 5,753$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.27 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Daniil Medvedev | 18c | 5,632$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Jannik Sinner | 74c | 5,549$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.73 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 5,510$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.15 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Daniil Medvedev | 13c | 4,985$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Daniil Medvedev | 16c | 4,937$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.04 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jannik Sinner | 70c | 4,860$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.57 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Jannik Sinner | 78c | 4,700$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 4,572$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Daniil Medvedev | 14c | 4,564$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Jannik Sinner | 77c | 4,555$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.65 | 155 | 65.2%101 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jannik Sinner | 77c | 4,277$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.89 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c03…d894backed Jannik Sinner | 76c | 4,019$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.83 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 4,003$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.66 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Daniil Medvedev | 29c | 3,940$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…fab9backed Daniil Medvedev | 10c | 3,825$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…c927backed Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 3,700$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 3,577$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.48 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…5b58backed Jannik Sinner | 70c | 3,539$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 3,529$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.51 | 388 | 31.4%122 W · 266 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Jannik Sinner | 78c | 3,404$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.22 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6629…98b3backed Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 3,394$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…7a37backed Daniil Medvedev | 18c | 3,315$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 3,140$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.8 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Daniil Medvedev | 12c | 3,026$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 318 | 50.3%160 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 2,955$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Daniil Medvedev | 16c | 2,836$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Jannik Sinner | 71c | 2,827$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.84 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Daniil Medvedev | 10c | 2,774$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.71 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 2,633$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.62 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Daniil Medvedev | 25c | 2,570$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.61 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Daniil Medvedev | 24c | 2,542$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Daniil Medvedev | 12c | 2,470$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.36 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Daniil Medvedev | 24c | 2,369$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.48 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 2,306$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.35 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 2,250$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…0772backed Daniil Medvedev | 18c | 2,213$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74d…9930backed Daniil Medvedev | 25c | 2,192$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…6a55backed Daniil Medvedev | 27c | 2,188$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 2,180$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.29 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 24c | 2,070$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 2,046$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.12 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Daniil Medvedev | 21c | 2,046$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.66 | 177 | 46.9%83 W · 94 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Daniil Medvedev | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 21c | 2,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…2d0bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 25c | 1,997$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Daniil Medvedev | 27c | 1,971$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Daniil Medvedev | 18c | 1,970$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Daniil Medvedev | 23c | 1,955$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.75 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Daniil Medvedev | 31c | 1,953$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.74 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c93…f0f6backed Jannik Sinner | 78c | 1,945$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.87 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 1,906$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.36 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Daniil Medvedev | 17c | 1,827$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 1,814$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.17 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…695abacked Daniil Medvedev | 29c | 1,805$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…3140backed Jannik Sinner | 79c | 1,789$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 69cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Daniil Medvedev | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Daniil Medvedev | 22c | 1,662$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.73 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Daniil Medvedev | 21c | 1,640$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.4 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerthis page
- Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Medvedev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs SinnerSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)Sinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.