TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x336b…695a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucharest Open: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.82
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.61
Sao Leopoldo: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Paulo Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+245.2%+$354.46
Split: Mili Poljicak vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.99
Yokkaichi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Yasutaka Uchiyama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$616.56
Morelia: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Split: Matej Dodig vs Mili Poljicakbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.24
Split: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Alexander Vasilevbacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.6
Naples: Vitaliy Sachko vs Federico Cinabacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,322Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,126.02
Alicante: Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$250.96
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$523
Cap Cana: Mattia Bellucci vs Mariano Navonebacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,071Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,070.67
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$578
Hersonissos: Harry Wendelken vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$298.2
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+194.1%+$414.98
BNP Paribas Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallobacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$191
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.56
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.59
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.54
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$436.61
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$444.88
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+188%+$353.4
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$463
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$439.01
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$1,430
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$622
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+465.7%+$562.58
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$982.34
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.38
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.65
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (W)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$196.84
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.38
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.52
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$231.13
San Diego Toreros vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$128.51
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$584.6
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$909
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,273Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$690.78
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$521.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+101%+$538.1
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+187.3%+$583.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$419.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$124.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$102.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$536.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$449
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.