TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$659,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $659,638 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes40c313,542$125,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187,552.266659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No28c77,644$21,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,705.422,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No60c73,304$43,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,982.44658.7%27 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No60c58,301$34,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,980.461747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c52,181$31,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,055.5868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No60c50,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0006346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes36c21,909$7,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,064.994254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No60c20,267$12,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,16030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No60c17,115$10,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,223.1122348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked No60c16,250$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,75010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No60c10,133$6,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0801338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes34c9,848$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,499.615653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes40c8,943$3,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,365.89137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No60c8,333$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes40c8,100$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,859.994837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed No60c8,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8002552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed No59c7,525$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,439.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c7,025$3,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,966.5696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No60c6,668$4,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.72142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No23c6,662$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.49440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes30c6,643$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,651.481040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No66c6,432$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,230.3734643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No60c5,929$3,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,557.42161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No60c5,849$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.1440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No59c5,500$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No59c4,800$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,83245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes40c4,791$1,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.5148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes40c3,750$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2502864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c3,017$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.421,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes40c3,012$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.533951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c2,850$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.1735646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No59c2,541$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.186659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec6e…2a01backed No60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No61c2,459$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.6752748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes80c2,312$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.817750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No59c2,221$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.3937250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No60c2,052$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.24553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2203363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No60c1,812$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.1241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No59c1,780$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.29652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No60c1,771$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No59c1,743$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed No60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No49c1,518$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.83237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked No60c1,503$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.598033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes41c1,461$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.071369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No1c1,410$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.016132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x867b…9fbabacked Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7503458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7503040%12 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes41c1,232$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.431553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No40c1,185$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.1393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No21c999.97$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.995550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Yes38c987.65$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.341233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No59c985$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.155424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No59c977$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.432948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No68c882.35$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Yes40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes41c734.15$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.155655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.715341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No60c700$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42016251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…695abacked Yes39c686.92$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37512134.7%42 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37513553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes40c600.14$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed No54c600$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3221656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Yes41c591.85$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.03887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick61cpaid+52.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2938…c52ebacked Yes77c584.97$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No60c496$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.63754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Yes41c488.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.693040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes41c462.54$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.93828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes40c455$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2735939%23 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes40c450$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked No23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes41c380.49$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4913636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Yes40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a0…fb5bbacked Yes40c343.02$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa24…b2b4backed Yes34c323.82$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.72825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca28…ceb2backed Yes34c323.53$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes40c312.5$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.56848.5%33 W · 35 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed No24c304.83$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.881030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18021445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18026046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1746043.3%26 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes41c294.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.851861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Yes34c292.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.921241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No59c289.15$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.611150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes40c287.5$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.512035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes64c277.34$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.822373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No60c265$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed No60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1508640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No58c243.96$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes36c241.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8215635.9%56 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes39c239.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.531070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.