TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,672 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No72c10,559$7,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,999.5696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9821058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes8c8,070$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.732,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Yes14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No68c1,645$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.5111153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c1,267$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.0941854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes17c1,181$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb303…9c27backed Yes35c912.79$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No67c845.59$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.042766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No67c807.93$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9335646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Yes18c742.37$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.639440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes32c700$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22416251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No79c692.64$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.863237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes33c619.2$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.251040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19840%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes2c529$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.584339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c494.06$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.421,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes16c412.5$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdff7…946fbacked Yes32c376.21$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b74…8b14backed Yes32c356.92$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3a2…f3f9backed Yes32c351.32$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed No56c337.3$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed79…4f5dbacked Yes32c326.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a92…0909backed Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes32c270.95$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.73253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c239.54$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0968750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes13c228.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6616819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes27c200$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9684…a461backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2938…c52ebacked Yes53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6645547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9342…4d78backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde4a…3f75backed Yes32c183$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.56944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes35c169.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9839740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No67c167.5$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4740549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No49c166.02$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5529862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes31c149.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.714847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Yes34c145.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No80c145.14$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0314347.6%68 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09de…49b8backed No69c143.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1229…84c1backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa4…3b47backed No69c136.87$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed No68c136.76$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa01c…5f2ebacked Yes43c131.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69f…227ebacked No69c131.07$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.63366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5000…a3b1backed No69c126.61$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a46…162dbacked No69c124.74$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed Yes45c122$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.920749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…d833backed No69c118.72$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eca…6089backed No69c117.48$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes32c117.3$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5465254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee0…6b74backed No69c115.68$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Yes33c115$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb04a…1a28backed No69c113.31$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes32c112$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8441943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No67c110.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.564252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes32c108.93$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3557…6da7backed No69c102.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No62c101.55$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.592166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3232854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3226747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca56…14b9backed No69c99.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No68c98.55$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0332150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…898dbacked Yes33c95.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes35c92.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3251139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ed…6d09backed Yes33c91.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d0b…0eb7backed No55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.95955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e86…8a92backed No48c90$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc9e…b4febacked Yes33c86.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed No59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No64c83.92$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.618253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Yes33c81.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2386…ca19backed No69c81.27$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33e…855fbacked Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No67c74.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.624548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…617cbacked No69c73.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.64955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Yes45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303850%19 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2d9…58f5backed No69c65.46$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.291040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No67c65.09$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4819542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No68c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1223245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No67c60.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9711150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67fc…722bbacked No69c58.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e09…d2babacked No66c56.77$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.56250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes24c54.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes32c54.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.585839.7%23 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2268…05bdbacked Yes45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169944.4%44 W · 55 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163729.7%11 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-52.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa9de…4738backed No60c49.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.