TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,400 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked No72c21,812$15,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,069.516659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152055%11 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+41.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Yes29c10,693$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed No72c10,693$7,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes28c9,913$2,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,775.740447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c7,993$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.952,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c7,878$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,205.7868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes28c5,445$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.633148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed No71c3,500$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes27c2,777$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.796659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No71c1,985$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.647560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes27c1,451$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes22c1,400$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9317744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a92…0909backed Yes2c1,397$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c1,064$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes27c863$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0137250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes27c855.75$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.331926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed No72c833.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.331668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes28c749.79$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c708.99$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5235646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c694$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.552748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Yes22c682.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed No80c625.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.062360.9%14 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes19c607.41$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes28c600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16812153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No80c575.5$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No73c535.72$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.253237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Yes27c519.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf25a…d724backed Yes4c500.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Yes25c460$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.83850%19 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes29c451.72$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe89f…0034backed Yes29c413.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8044…82ffbacked Yes29c356.21$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…742cbacked Yes29c352.13$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ba…3fcbbacked Yes29c345.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea7…0e82backed Yes29c312.65$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Yes29c310$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.92536%9 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed Yes29c310$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.92045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8421445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked No72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick61cpaid+52.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Yes29c258.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes9c226.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6423244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed Yes29c205.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.452540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe71d…d79fbacked No72c160.17$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes19c150.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9651139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x894d…c9c6backed No72c149.49$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e80…b9e4backed No72c149.12$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51a8…610cbacked No72c148.24$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes27c147.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4232854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52a5…dd82backed No72c134.57$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd3…5dfabacked No72c133.56$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.43100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe252…9a07backed No72c131.09$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303125.8%8 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.587568%51 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa958…fb34backed Yes29c124.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes22c120.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0218125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes28c115$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.23228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9615…8c8fbacked No72c114.63$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c113.51$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4739354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a9…37edbacked Yes29c111.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No73c110.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.972382.6%19 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80ff…439ebacked No72c104.18$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.17580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305933.9%20 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ac…914abacked No72c102.93$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2976…a6d2backed No72c102.77$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+149.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb24…22e2backed No72c102.49$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x635d…c863backed No72c102.11$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6887…5a0cbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273920.5%8 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f68…32dabacked No72c97.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked No77c96.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.183026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09bb…aca9backed Yes29c87.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Yes28c85.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242528%7 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e44…1d1abacked No72c84.67$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked No75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202070%14 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.49542.1%40 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54ad…dafbbacked Yes29c76.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…4d9dbacked No74c75.32$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.321464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes24c74.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9711136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c27…6a47backed Yes21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+114.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9df…1e41backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…c5afbacked Yes29c70.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb5b…b94ebacked Yes29c68.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No75c68.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9118253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes30c67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.148144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce0…56f9backed Yes26c65.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.