TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6887…5a0c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix: Marcos Giron vs Ethan Quinnbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.6
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.8
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$83
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Cherbourg: Borna Gojo vs Pavel Kotovbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+115.4%+$37.49
Cap Cana: Mariano Navone vs Valentin Royerbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Cherbourg: Murphy Cassone vs Pavel Kotovbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$25.8
Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Paul Jubbbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Max Houkesbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+195.8%+$67.56
Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Geabacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.95
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.98
Cap Cana: Hubert Hurkacz vs Mattia Belluccibacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Phoenix: Jay Dylan Friend vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+153%+$51.76
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.02
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.93
Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.37
Cherbourg: Filippo Romano vs Patrick Bradybacked Patrick Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.97
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Cherbourg: Gauthier Onclin vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$18.06
Phoenix: Emilio Nava vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$123.42
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$40.54
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.65
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Nets vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.57
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 10 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$25.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.