TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
76ersof Nets, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,486 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99a5…328ebacked Nets66c637.13$421 inLost-$420.9210844.4%48 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf305…8299backed 76ers24c432.03$104 inWon+$328.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+147.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed 76ers68c428.99$292 inWon+$136.6622140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 76ers69c166.23$115 inWon+$51.1326353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers68c123.56$84 inWon+$39.264,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6887…5a0cbacked Nets31c96$30 inLost-$301020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Nets31c76.16$24 inLost-$23.6118150.3%91 W · 90 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d4…a401backed 76ers72c69.44$50 inWon+$19.444242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked Nets32c62.5$20 inLost-$207222.2%16 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed 76ers69c50$35 inWon+$15.563555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nets29c46$13 inLost-$13.341,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed 76ers72c45.6$33 inWon+$12.773357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa55d…001ebacked Nets25c40$10 inLost-$104837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed 76ers34c34.47$12 inWon+$22.751,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 76ers77c27.76$21 inWon+$6.51,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2996…73debacked 76ers72c27.6$20 inWon+$7.613744.5%61 W · 76 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked 76ers73c25.71$19 inWon+$7.0588057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked 76ers75c25$19 inWon+$6.254637%17 W · 29 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.