TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,871 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x77cf…beb6backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x949a…8762backed Under44c2,934$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f5…f940backed Under45c2,758$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Over46c2,600$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.9827052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e9…ad18backed Over56c2,490$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d3…de8abacked Under44c2,478$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa419…9908backed Over56c2,442$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1505…6245backed Over55c2,409$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb98…6d9abacked Under44c2,379$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8455…22f5backed Over55c2,303$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac9…4999backed Over56c2,285$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x276b…8f61backed Over56c2,190$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffa8…d5dcbacked Under45c2,169$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e4e…9fa8backed Over55c2,157$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3120…9b27backed Over55c2,143$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3517…f0b9backed Under45c2,037$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…f62ebacked Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f5c…5047backed Under45c1,897$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4eb9…a133backed Under45c1,885$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1506…a592backed Over56c1,869$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x591c…e77fbacked Under44c1,838$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c0d…cb50backed Over55c1,824$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc3…d3a7backed Over56c1,730$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9418…b94dbacked Under44c1,701$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3166…1c1abacked Under44c1,676$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…fcf5backed Under45c1,627$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x193b…6202backed Over55c1,537$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a9…4ecbbacked Under47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e1…955dbacked Under47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c1,451$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.159,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over54c1,166$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.6435749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c1,131$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.624,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c986.77$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.184,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c976.46$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5274,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c900.82$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5fc…adbabacked Under48c732.29$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c730$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.26,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c430.92$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.543,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16566645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under56c291.62$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.841,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c251.36$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.62,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2226956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2214156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c193.2$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.332,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over57c176.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c154.01$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.092,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c120.58$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.092,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b5…ae57backed Under45c110.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.646946.4%32 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ca…029bbacked Over55c107.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5538464.3%247 W · 137 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9572…ea8ebacked Under47c95.04$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.927960.8%48 W · 31 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea1c…b810backed Over54c94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.766852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9023…1143backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over53c92.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.071,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Under46c89.21$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.189051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over54c87.35$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.446447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under47c79.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0660945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa75d…1d45backed Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022347.1%105 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under45c63.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2841052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee3…bf37backed Over54c47.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.837445.9%34 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over56c46.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over55c41.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Under46c39.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0614448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under49c37.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over54c33.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.233,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x111c…40a3backed Under47c33.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.613138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2527050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2d…cd74backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512364.2%79 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fa…b505backed Over55c27.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511244.6%50 W · 62 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c4c…b7b8backed Over55c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.115054%81 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…798fbacked Over55c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.