TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,860 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Over53c21,216$11,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,244.338944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c19,085$8,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,111.931,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under48c17,717$8,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,125.461,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Over52c10,000$5,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.145648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c4,999$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.669149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d93…8267backed Over54c4,222$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c2,972$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.744,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over51c2,966$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.3235749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293e…c984backed Over54c2,912$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4623…abe3backed Over54c2,822$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,523.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c2,705$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0314…dce7backed Over54c2,700$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…5b6dbacked Over54c2,477$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ba…c84dbacked Under46c2,456$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x287c…8df5backed Over54c2,456$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under48c2,296$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.3434851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d1…2d66backed Under46c2,183$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2f6…9f60backed Over54c2,176$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5696…ee71backed Under46c2,146$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c2,132$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.374,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…2040backed Over54c2,102$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af4…d524backed Under46c2,011$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6be…28d3backed Under46c1,999$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e3…e80bbacked Under46c1,916$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38eb…da0cbacked Under46c1,905$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73c…2687backed Under46c1,792$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4381…c1a1backed Under46c1,777$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae48…069dbacked Under46c1,766$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc80b…2c7abacked Under46c1,726$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2709…e1ebbacked Over54c1,670$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa75f…318bbacked Under46c1,568$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e52…9551backed Over54c1,517$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,391$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.484,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c1,339$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.291,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c1,338$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.054,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c1,304$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.33,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under53c1,215$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.43,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c84…a513backed Under46c1,187$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under48c1,181$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.2228554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c1,067$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.672,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over52c960.96$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.720651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over52c870$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.414245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over51c831.84$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.2416338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c759$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.686,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c645.5$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.123,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004641.3%19 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25054549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under48c466.32$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4922140.7%90 W · 131 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c424.32$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20477549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over51c391.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8216347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under51c330.93$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.1616953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over52c288$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7610448.1%50 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c240.15$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.882,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c228$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.281,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c224.04$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.982,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e7…a315backed Under50c201$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c200.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029345.7%134 W · 159 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…fa2fbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over52c190.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8622154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over51c184.86$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.287843.6%34 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa444…75debacked Over53c151.75$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.431921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.4wins-0.28per pick49cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x076b…dbfabacked Under47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x174b…a23abacked Under46c143$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under69c120.43$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.211,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa380…55e3backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c99.77$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.881,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over52c99.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1adb…f12abacked Over50c93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.55345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Under51c93$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.598251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…79d5backed Under50c92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under49c91.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4251438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x855c…fa95backed Under48c89.41$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.499051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over52c80.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9314047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under50c68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3446447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over19c67.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7812227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over52c67.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.071,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under56c61.77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.111,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under47c60.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1955347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc00c…ddc2backed Over51c47.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb71…ba49backed Over53c46.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under48c45.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8152552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under49c43.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4378648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d38…71efbacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under50c40.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0437549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under61c38.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7890357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over53c30.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1629247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under47c30.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1113155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under58c29.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Under67c28.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2345653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under47c22.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1832752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c22.26$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.722,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under50c22.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9856…7014backed Over50c22.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.15949.2%29 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.