TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$447,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $447,112 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a57…2afabacked Over50c83,864$42,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,141.758944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c55,880$27,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,997.781,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c52,733$26,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,814.041,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c33,775$16,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,7121,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c28,475$13,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,898.491,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under51c25,414$12,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,452.8560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Under52c24,366$12,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,695.498148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c22,301$11,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,144.064,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Over48c22,094$10,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,604.9611443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c18,123$8,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,977.184,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over50c17,854$8,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,862.6624053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c15,012$7,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,483.382,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.995750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under51c9,900$5,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,818.4452052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c9,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3202,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc167…51b0backed Over49c8,158$3,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.4944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under48c6,756$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.1624744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under51c6,600$3,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,23418536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.381,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over49c5,516$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70335749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over51c4,882$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c4,744$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3721,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c4,300$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1501,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb296…e13cbacked Under49c4,288$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5696…abe8backed Over52c4,288$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c64…5931backed Over52c4,022$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe39…5c3cbacked Over49c4,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-73.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x438b…50e6backed Under49c3,966$1,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,022.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.5526637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28c5…fb13backed Under49c3,899$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc098…e403backed Under48c3,503$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcefe…e690backed Under49c3,264$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b17…1ab2backed Over49c3,264$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94b4…f531backed Over52c3,200$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f3b…89d7backed Under52c3,075$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33f5…aacabacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c2,596$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22522752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ea…7bb5backed Over52c2,476$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…46a4backed Over52c2,462$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe4c…d55cbacked Under49c2,424$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc828…614dbacked Over52c2,408$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc29d…84a9backed Over51c2,392$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,219.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0522…d1c3backed Over51c2,385$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc28f…968fbacked Under48c2,368$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc92b…968ebacked Under48c2,360$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa309…1938backed Over51c2,347$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81c6…5dcbbacked Over51c2,340$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa662…a8ddbacked Under49c2,293$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e5…e6b7backed Over52c2,276$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f5d…caa1backed Under49c2,269$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dbc…a37cbacked Under48c2,253$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Over49c2,245$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over48c2,210$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.9424151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93a…8a2ebacked Under48c2,207$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…8406backed Over51c2,205$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf54c…57dabacked Under48c2,202$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca7…de92backed Over51c2,200$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1900…de39backed Over52c2,166$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8015…ee3bbacked Over51c2,158$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74ae…b34fbacked Under48c2,158$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Under50c2,150$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0755044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…db18backed Over52c2,148$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd75d…fe52backed Under48c2,147$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82fe…5e8dbacked Under48c2,114$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd2e…0fa9backed Over52c2,109$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd090…52eebacked Under49c2,101$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d2b…2457backed Under49c2,065$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99dc…9312backed Over52c2,061$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0046…ae2abacked Under48c2,055$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2014…3073backed Over51c2,050$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe80b…5392backed Under48c2,033$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd35c…2a5cbacked Under48c2,015$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c2,006$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.083,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7754…5d26backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f0b…37eabacked Over52c1,999$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21b…3e41backed Under48c1,998$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c71…0dabbacked Under49c1,990$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf06…bc7dbacked Over52c1,980$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e4b…0713backed Over51c1,978$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec2…8126backed Under48c1,902$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c1,893$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.442,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5576…9541backed Over51c1,862$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a3…96bbbacked Over52c1,852$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd47c…5208backed Over51c1,823$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c2f…01c4backed Under48c1,823$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eac…8f40backed Under48c1,788$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87c3…9751backed Over51c1,780$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65aa…73bebacked Under49c1,772$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…16a8backed Over51c1,772$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f2…77edbacked Over51c1,754$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbccf…47cdbacked Under48c1,747$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187e…536fbacked Over51c1,723$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Over49c1,689$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.619742.3%41 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c1,666$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.733,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4476…e599backed Under49c1,652$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df5…3f00backed Under49c1,634$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x131a…13e6backed Under49c1,621$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.