TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof 76ers, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$342,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,257 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa729…9326backed Nets54c61,150$33,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,1294949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd9…9d0bbacked 76ers46c10,923$5,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,024.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1315…eac6backed 76ers46c10,391$4,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,779.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+69%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6f7…4b8cbacked 76ers46c9,403$4,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,325.38450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd4a…8890backed 76ers46c9,334$4,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,293.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…a337backed Nets54c9,305$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,280.35100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x166a…2342backed Nets54c9,115$4,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,192.9580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+61.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34de…16b0backed Nets54c8,957$4,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…3ebbbacked Nets54c8,737$4,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7364…fd42backed 76ers46c8,669$3,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,987.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e45…9844backed Nets54c8,647$4,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,977.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ea…cd93backed Nets54c8,624$4,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,967.044100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x906d…ce17backed Nets54c8,574$4,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,944.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbef…6a89backed Nets54c8,374$4,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,852.045100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6bc…beb3backed Nets54c8,239$4,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,789.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked 76ers48c8,106$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,888.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…6fe4backed 76ers46c8,065$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,709.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9334…7eeabacked 76ers46c7,427$3,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,416.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+66.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nets53c7,369$3,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,492.854,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b7…b871backed Nets54c7,268$3,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,343.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e63…5713backed 76ers46c7,240$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,330.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets53c6,968$3,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,294.394,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f3…3aecbacked 76ers46c6,829$3,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,141.34450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a4d…e4edbacked Nets54c6,818$3,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,136.28580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+65.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Nets52c6,781$3,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2b…f78abacked Nets54c6,312$3,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8027…b4f9backed Nets54c6,234$3,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04ec…4064backed 76ers46c5,741$2,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b95…0880backed Nets54c5,487$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf01…e665backed Nets54c5,437$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,501.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x004a…a037backed Nets54c5,426$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8a4…0c8fbacked Nets54c5,359$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,465.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…4448backed Nets54c5,358$2,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.685100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21dc…e78bbacked Nets54c5,315$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdc…d4fbbacked Nets54c5,145$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb3a…7428backed 76ers46c4,883$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.18450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1504…03cebacked Nets54c4,875$2,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x342f…dbc0backed Nets54c4,712$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers46c4,639$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1501,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf24…fc7abacked Nets54c4,619$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87f…9eeabacked 76ers46c4,444$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d0d…ebd4backed Nets54c4,436$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x493f…d019backed Nets54c4,406$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bdb…e072backed 76ers46c4,198$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61e…eb3cbacked Nets54c4,190$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a46…1d4fbacked Nets54c4,121$2,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed69…e4f8backed 76ers46c4,090$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f7c…cb55backed Nets54c3,974$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f5a…2f41backed 76ers46c3,923$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…3eb2backed Nets54c3,681$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.26580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1736…9b9ebacked Nets54c3,657$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.22966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x693c…39f2backed Nets54c3,630$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+65.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfc6…89f9backed 76ers46c3,524$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x475d…7a41backed 76ers46c3,503$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945f…5786backed Nets54c3,491$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.86580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ade…c0f1backed 76ers46c3,350$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51dc…b43ebacked Nets54c3,264$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc92d…858cbacked Nets54c3,263$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4f…64c1backed Nets54c3,172$1,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed 76ers48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b4…ad08backed 76ers46c3,102$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ce…3ba5backed Nets54c3,007$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ea…94e9backed Nets54c3,003$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2d6…3bbebacked Nets54c2,962$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7db…7b38backed Nets54c2,806$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a2…f0d5backed 76ers46c2,768$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b19…6f0cbacked 76ers46c2,634$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x956a…a07abacked 76ers46c2,489$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce8b…c01dbacked 76ers46c2,484$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2994…da85backed 76ers46c2,434$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b49…879ebacked Nets54c2,424$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…e25bbacked 76ers46c2,402$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf266…636fbacked 76ers46c2,400$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ae…f2d0backed 76ers46c2,390$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc494…631bbacked 76ers46c2,368$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da9…ab99backed 76ers46c2,301$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x438a…be10backed 76ers46c2,269$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x064c…8cd5backed 76ers46c2,236$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b8…7733backed 76ers46c2,229$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee9…0c8abacked 76ers46c2,203$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x772b…d647backed Nets54c2,178$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6a…6925backed Nets54c2,173$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.58580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd916…fdcabacked Nets54c1,990$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.41060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d91…ff46backed 76ers46c1,917$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.821050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa062…56afbacked Nets54c1,829$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.345100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d87…1c79backed 76ers46c1,692$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1190…8ff6backed 76ers46c1,688$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.48450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c46…70e7backed 76ers46c1,659$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0363…4f97backed 76ers46c1,655$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb19…50dcbacked 76ers46c1,643$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd69…5384backed 76ers46c1,640$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8741…a155backed 76ers46c1,621$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.66966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9d1…1c65backed 76ers46c1,614$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x322e…06c4backed 76ers46c1,604$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb2…7e92backed 76ers46c1,538$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x826a…a878backed 76ers46c1,525$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb3…157bbacked Nets54c1,515$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c7c…61c6backed 76ers46c1,502$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeec7…7f9fbacked 76ers46c1,466$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+40.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers49c1,456$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.358,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.