TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Phoenix: Marcos Giron vs Ethan Quinn

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ethan Quinnof Marcos Giron, Ethan Quinn
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,137

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,137 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Ethan Quinn67c45,585$30,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,267.4180938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Marcos Giron44c30,035$13,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,289.452,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Marcos Giron38c18,117$6,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,849.162,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ethan Quinn53c16,290$8,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,585.7211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Marcos Giron62c10,298$6,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,389.751,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ethan Quinn51c7,655$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.767,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Ethan Quinn62c5,076$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.032,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Ethan Quinn67c4,663$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.756,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Marcos Giron1c4,509$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.093852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Marcos Giron53c3,609$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92420155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Marcos Giron1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30630%0 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf191…5b58backed Ethan Quinn58c2,568$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Marcos Giron37c2,405$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90084736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Marcos Giron52c2,025$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05030241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ethan Quinn59c2,005$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.38,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Marcos Giron52c1,935$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Marcos Giron46c1,862$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.812,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Marcos Giron40c1,750$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69712951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ethan Quinn65c1,680$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.676,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Ethan Quinn44c1,368$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.431,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f70…9f21backed Marcos Giron58c1,099$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.592462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Marcos Giron21c1,075$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.181,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Ethan Quinn57c1,031$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.282,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7896…c2ffbacked Marcos Giron32c1,008$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.279453.2%50 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Marcos Giron2c1,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22300%0 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Marcos Giron3c899.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9911826.3%31 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Marcos Giron61c884.46$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.0668350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Marcos Giron46c873.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Marcos Giron58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026254.6%143 W · 119 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Ethan Quinn41c799.95$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9746932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Ethan Quinn42c700$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40970652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Marcos Giron2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Marcos Giron51c686.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Marcos Giron31c660$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.661924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed Marcos Giron27c608.83$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1624158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Ethan Quinn41c569.22$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.991,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Marcos Giron36c525$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4434744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Ethan Quinn39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.821,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Marcos Giron27c507.44$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.424,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Marcos Giron57c506$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.426043.3%26 W · 34 L-9.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Marcos Giron53c497.85$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.862245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Marcos Giron47c492.27$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.069,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Marcos Giron36c459$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Marcos Giron48c437.5$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21051933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Marcos Giron23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Marcos Giron52c426$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.741741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ethan Quinn41c422.35$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.721,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Marcos Giron49c412.68$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.34,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Marcos Giron52c385.92$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.619167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Marcos Giron59c371.99$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4743051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x217d…737ebacked Marcos Giron51c314.81$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608354.2%45 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Marcos Giron49c297.86$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.332,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Ethan Quinn42c297.62$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6224560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Marcos Giron45c297.37$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.722,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Ethan Quinn55c279.29$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.466,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Marcos Giron27c277.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7531643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14fb…4ecdbacked Marcos Giron63c273.08$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Ethan Quinn35c264.11$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.99530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed Ethan Quinn76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Ethan Quinn39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4165840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Marcos Giron58c250$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.16344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Marcos Giron26c241.17$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6219744.2%87 W · 110 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Ethan Quinn49c240.01$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.63,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Marcos Giron59c239$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.447,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Marcos Giron55c235.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0129…e3c9backed Marcos Giron44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Ethan Quinn40c217$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.537427%20 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Marcos Giron63c216.16$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13650364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Marcos Giron29c214.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6267836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Ethan Quinn41c207.43$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5425433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Ethan Quinn38c205$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.12,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Marcos Giron57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425051.2%128 W · 122 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Marcos Giron61c198.28$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Marcos Giron60c198.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9215354.2%83 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Marcos Giron37c195.46$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5243058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Marcos Giron60c192.8$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.992,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Ethan Quinn43c184.77$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0635040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Marcos Giron57c175.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1be6…a7c1backed Marcos Giron8c173.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-80.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Marcos Giron61c164.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Marcos Giron25c164$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4169350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Marcos Giron61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ethan Quinn58c161.69$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.943,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Ethan Quinn35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.41,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Marcos Giron34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Ethan Quinn39c127.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4318548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Marcos Giron60c125$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Ethan Quinn40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7525237.3%94 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Ethan Quinn41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9566452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Marcos Giron46c120.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0461953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Ethan Quinn40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.314746.3%68 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ethan Quinn58c117.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.997,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x112e…0d1fbacked Marcos Giron63c109.02$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6834965%227 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Ethan Quinn38c108.71$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9354434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Marcos Giron47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x998c…6f97backed Marcos Giron48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507345.2%33 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid0%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Ethan Quinn41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5926247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Marcos Giron52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035944.8%161 W · 198 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Marcos Giron31c96.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.858359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Marcos Giron24c95.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2381933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.