TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cherbourg: Murphy Cassone vs Pavel Kotov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pavel Kotovof Murphy Cassone, Pavel Kotov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,413 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Murphy Cassone23c23,981$5,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,438.711,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Murphy Cassone8c15,305$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16972132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Murphy Cassone7c4,768$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.812,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Pavel Kotov69c4,105$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.136,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Murphy Cassone1c4,075$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.372550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Pavel Kotov77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92049252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Murphy Cassone0c3,994$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.312,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pavel Kotov46c2,015$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.2511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Murphy Cassone41c1,692$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.816,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x390c…4795backed Murphy Cassone39c1,652$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.692937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Murphy Cassone40c1,300$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.4528552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Pavel Kotov49c1,202$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.891,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5e…3c51backed Murphy Cassone35c1,174$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.653464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Pavel Kotov50c1,146$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.897141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Murphy Cassone27c1,064$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.023,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Murphy Cassone57c1,001$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.0630241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Murphy Cassone4c938.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211417.5%20 W · 94 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Murphy Cassone10c852.9$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1811832.2%38 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Murphy Cassone52c782.29$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.9733346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Pavel Kotov60c736.43$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4347946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Murphy Cassone51c711.53$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.8833256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Pavel Kotov49c676.7$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.7336333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Murphy Cassone15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Murphy Cassone57c608.74$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Pavel Kotov75c606.92$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.42,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Murphy Cassone56c594.73$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.4154450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Murphy Cassone51c582.45$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0529637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Pavel Kotov49c512.96$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.8630530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pavel Kotov48c507.92$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.284,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Murphy Cassone21c500$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Pavel Kotov51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Murphy Cassone38c499.97$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9946932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pavel Kotov51c492.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.5531643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Murphy Cassone52c484$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.681,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Murphy Cassone51c402.3$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Pavel Kotov52c386.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.951,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Pavel Kotov62c363.97$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.864,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pavel Kotov72c331.66$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.537,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Murphy Cassone4c309.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.282,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Murphy Cassone51c309.57$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8867239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Pavel Kotov52c276.92$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9228754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Murphy Cassone51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Murphy Cassone54c265.76$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5145457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Pavel Kotov48c250.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.773,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe64d…5e09backed Murphy Cassone8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pavel Kotov45c249.91$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.959,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pavel Kotov70c240.85$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.632,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Pavel Kotov69c240.58$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5817549.7%87 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Pavel Kotov47c214.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.892,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Murphy Cassone51c203.92$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10459954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x759c…05e2backed Murphy Cassone50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019649%96 W · 100 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Murphy Cassone52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.55658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf97e…aa3fbacked Pavel Kotov50c199.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.649757.7%56 W · 41 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Murphy Cassone49c197.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7235360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Murphy Cassone48c194.72$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.981,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Murphy Cassone51c194.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Murphy Cassone53c189.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8464350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Murphy Cassone54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.225546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Murphy Cassone56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10084963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8337…2352backed Murphy Cassone52c160.56$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.492458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked Pavel Kotov75c159.85$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4411347.8%54 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Murphy Cassone36c158$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6199044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…d5a3backed Murphy Cassone53c155.52$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826668.2%45 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Pavel Kotov50c153.34$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.671,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Pavel Kotov49c151.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.971,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe256…1dd8backed Pavel Kotov78c147.41$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.463435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Murphy Cassone34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Murphy Cassone35c141$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.961,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Murphy Cassone56c138.75$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.730741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pavel Kotov50c132.74$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.641,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pavel Kotov50c121$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.697,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Pavel Kotov70c118.72$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.716,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb417…06dcbacked Pavel Kotov73c118.44$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.983145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Murphy Cassone49c118.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5843242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9483…804ebacked Murphy Cassone33c113.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3815514.2%22 W · 133 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Pavel Kotov63c112$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9343951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Murphy Cassone49c101.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508858%51 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ebb…7e02backed Pavel Kotov48c100.46$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.244143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Murphy Cassone18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Pavel Kotov50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Murphy Cassone39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.97540%30 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Murphy Cassone49c99.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.196953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3469…3676backed Pavel Kotov50c99.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.231050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe93f…6769backed Pavel Kotov51c98.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.975444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Murphy Cassone58c98.21$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9631941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Pavel Kotov46c86.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8113450.7%68 W · 66 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked Pavel Kotov48c74.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.984845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Pavel Kotov64c62.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.735143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked Murphy Cassone51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1113556.3%76 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Murphy Cassone54c60.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9384736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Murphy Cassone51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014639%57 W · 89 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Murphy Cassone51c58.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9931853.5%170 W · 148 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Pavel Kotov51c58.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7790854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Murphy Cassone27c58.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.633,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Pavel Kotov61c57.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3538460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6887…5a0cbacked Pavel Kotov50c51.6$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.82339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Murphy Cassone50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Pavel Kotov47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Murphy Cassone49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.536349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Murphy Cassone55c47.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9824350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.