TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$241,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,440 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No79c47,500$37,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,975.353450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c42,160$13,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,228.633,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes21c33,639$7,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,036.461,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No63c28,765$18,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,606.1584850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes21c12,550$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,635.515947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes21c12,021$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.7913149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes21c9,032$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.7391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…13cdbacked No73c8,607$6,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.891090%9 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick73cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No80c3,760$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.569954.5%54 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No79c2,937$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.422733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes21c1,800$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.121637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes21c1,769$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.4931849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c1,358$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.642,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf162…068bbacked Yes59c1,185$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes21c1,177$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.172548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c1,065$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.2135158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c1,010$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8225157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1038…fd48backed No52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.54475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes40c755.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes33c705.75$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes21c700$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14715949.1%78 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes21c700$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14711153.2%59 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes21c609.53$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1283557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d35…9e6ebacked Yes28c606.43$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d6…bdf8backed Yes35c564.29$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes21c542.71$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.97837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes32c540.53$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.4744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No69c381.51$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.133141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d52…f748backed Yes23c378.26$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f69…1535backed Yes30c375.87$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes34c363.66$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6617956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes22c351.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.355232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6887…5a0cbacked Yes49c345.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6311843.2%51 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609054.4%49 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6321243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes21c299$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.792552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes11c282.26$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.847237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes18c278.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No58c270.63$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8514963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Yes55c270.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf76d…7c42backed Yes43c265.84$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes20c258.4$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.191428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes12c249.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5479532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes11c245.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.158636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782e…e910backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No62c226.64$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9178344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes24c224.87$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed No80c202.63$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.731662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes21c200.93$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked No40c199.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes35c197.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No60c170.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5212345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Yes21c164.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.613655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked No80c162.8$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a89…adebbacked Yes26c161.54$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+45.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes21c131$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.513956.4%22 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+57.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed No43c130$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.11040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes34c120.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.852642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Yes25c120.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.02229.1%2 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes25c119.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.938130.9%25 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes22c114.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No79c104.11$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.325123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes25c103$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.752524%6 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed No74c100.81$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.21944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked No49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.83582.9%29 W · 6 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick64cpaid+34.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes21c99.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes22c94.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.717051.4%36 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes35c91.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed Yes21c90.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-72.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf949…5643backed No55c90.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.64944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadc6…952dbacked Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Yes21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-79.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed No48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.43857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x610d…e761backed Yes22c68.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes21c66.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes22c65.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3955545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes21c65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6512849.2%63 W · 65 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes58c64.31$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b2…013fbacked Yes33c60.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.772250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes22c59.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310035%35 W · 65 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e5e…81c8backed Yes25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1350%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.512146.3%56 W · 65 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes21c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.454940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked No80c48.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.661250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2371…4d2dbacked Yes23c46.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes43c46.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No76c40.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6411749.6%58 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No75c32.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.041926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-50.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.