TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$371,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,696 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Yes24c10,599$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,031.8884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes20c10,079$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,079.231764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+20.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes16c10,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,400.091163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ce…d0eebacked Yes14c8,075$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,905.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+181.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes17c7,368$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,082.323836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes16c7,164$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,019.8911242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes15c6,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,666.672259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes16c6,253$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,252.472142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes34c5,433$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,612.7476941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes16c3,934$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,318.314740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes13c3,808$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3094228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes17c2,959$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.826154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c2,299$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.572,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No13c2,144$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.28636%31 W · 55 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes16c1,873$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.432259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes15c1,800$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.231637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes16c1,671$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.141225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No27c1,659$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.862828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes17c1,500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2451631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes14c1,436$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.711225%3 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Yes16c1,251$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.211442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes16c1,237$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.135232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes44c1,211$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.3844952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No30c1,008$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes13c1,000$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87012336.6%45 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27023461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c948$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.1220048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes9c833.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.335927.1%16 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No42c805.62$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.83141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.292665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+69.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes16c628.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.441827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes67c499.4$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.835158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd590…5eeebacked Yes17c471.96$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.72560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+114%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No9c467.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.877237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Yes69c460.3$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.681573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes14c453.38$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.611643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fda…6c62backed Yes20c436.98$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.47333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+68.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ddd…3254backed Yes13c413.33$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.93633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+50.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No5c413$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0610544.8%47 W · 58 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f69…1535backed Yes29c410$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc6…1a98backed Yes11c405.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf591…39c8backed Yes15c374.27$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.13650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+101.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes67c372.65$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2817956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes17c364.71$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.711520%3 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003070%21 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc067…e97cbacked Yes16c315$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.6955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+62%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes15c300$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.176331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2525552.7%29 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes15c266.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.679338.7%36 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f8…1335backed Yes15c266.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe3…949cbacked Yes16c250$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick24cpaid+135.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes15c250$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.751872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+68.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes16c243.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.754454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf949…5643backed Yes11c239.39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.06944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes9c222.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.228130.9%25 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes14c220.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.082157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed No5c220$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes16c218.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.756737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4236…7040backed Yes15c202$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick16cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16018444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes15c194.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.132821.4%6 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes7c190$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.72,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9fa…c365backed Yes16c187.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.52437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes16c187.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.52825%7 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-10.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes16c187.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.53420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd19f…cfaabacked No27c185.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes70c182.07$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.085337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes72c182$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9678344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Yes16c181.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.993878.9%30 W · 8 L+8.4wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+46.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No13c175.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.782245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb329…2a8cbacked Yes12c174.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.814951%25 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes15c171.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1931842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee75…f23abacked Yes13c170.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+675.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes15c167.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.16520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid+33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes15c166.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick29cpaid+145.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No22c166.38$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5812345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No26c165.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.125236.5%19 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes16c159.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.791258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+78.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Yes16c156.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.772433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes16c156.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.254151.2%21 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+46.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x486b…2eaabacked Yes13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.851764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+69%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2110…539ebacked Yes10c150$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+233.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes15c146.28$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.75066%33 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes71c141.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No11c140$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.779532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aee…5fb6backed Yes74c137.74$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed Yes16c137.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.55100%5 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+205.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes14c135$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1163821.1%8 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9791…caeabacked Yes15c134.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.961145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes75c133.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.651758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Yes15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.333321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1a…8480backed Yes15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+162.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes15c130.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.453036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes16c125.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.321926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab1…c560backed Yes16c125.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.33540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+59.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes12c125$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32aa…0c01backed Yes16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.