TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ab1…c560

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 51 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$36.54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+525%+$83.97
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.9
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$60
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$11.7
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.2
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$90
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+59.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.48
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.