TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$431,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,304 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Under50c78,471$39,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,345.873641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c72,647$35,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,610.3516144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Over51c60,000$30,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,399.982360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0008740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Over51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.966048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over52c19,231$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,230.773652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under49c17,032$8,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,371.2910845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c14,947$7,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,322.126047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c13,229$6,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,482.3928543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Under49c12,245$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c8,297$4,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,185.711,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Over51c5,914$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,897.73580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under50c5,200$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over51c5,071$2,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,492.1313245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.9213548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over50c3,400$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70038748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under51c3,391$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.0134342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under49c3,041$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.0921037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c2,627$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.771,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c2,600$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed Over51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2252740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Over53c2,287$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.792272.7%16 W · 6 L+7.7wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+106.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.225637.5%21 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+171.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c2,007$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.326657.6%38 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9609757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.787145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under62c1,960$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.794860.4%29 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Over53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7912333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over51c1,796$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.084047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over50c1,530$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.4429350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Over52c1,367$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.141656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over40c1,239$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.753040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc89f…695bbacked Over50c1,070$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Over50c1,064$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.791384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+48%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over51c1,012$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.885350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over51c992$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.75927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over74c930.49$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+93.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c911.88$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.6846048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over51c823.53$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.532853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over52c753.2$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.546952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Over48c716.66$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.391963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8da0…13bebacked Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Under49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3431747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c699.88$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.9413349.6%66 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over52c673.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.084957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee0…94c7backed Over51c670$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e00…d969backed Under77c645.99$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under49c638$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.623043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6882…762bbacked Over51c630$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb388…3e65backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under49c584.93$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5413246.2%61 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c577$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.919748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over43c574.53$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.727861.5%48 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under49c571.43$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c521.63$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9923637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8213234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under30c502.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2915038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over46c485.68$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.378368.7%57 W · 26 L+13.8wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over52c478.01$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.444052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over64c466.16$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.093458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under52c458$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.86844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Over46c435$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.981040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over47c423.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.463240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over66c413.64$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.643450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c409.77$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.696331.7%20 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over50c404.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.014259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+35.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under50c400.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under50c400$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1986536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Over52c399.97$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.983562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bbc…2937backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under29c384.26$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5339743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc260…68dfbacked Over51c373.92$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+72.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Over56c370$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x671d…c1c6backed Under29c369.76$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c0…9f76backed Over44c358.96$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over39c346.92$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.366157.4%35 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+58.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8531…5eccbacked Over63c338.34$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.231758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over52c333$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3425659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over52c332.98$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.839034.4%31 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over47c313.25$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.2510736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Over75c300$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under48c299.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under49c299.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.993842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Over52c299.95$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.983167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over51c296.08$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0813261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1213349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over55c293.81$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8220643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under49c289$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.615143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd797…692dbacked Over58c272.81$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.884100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+105.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over52c269.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under49c266.27$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.349850%49 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over51c264.54$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.75453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over51c254.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.93946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over50c252.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.512935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.521354%115 W · 98 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.