TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,728

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,728 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c8,782$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.671,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c5,738$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.331,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over72c3,411$2,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.8929350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over74c2,740$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.149757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over73c2,723$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.021163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under40c2,009$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.753641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under25c1,842$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.1715936.5%58 W · 101 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over72c1,839$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.9513245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under28c1,751$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.2915032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under3c1,660$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.137834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over73c1,425$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.6913261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over74c1,353$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.237245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under28c1,267$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.5250247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbd…1ec9backed Over70c1,043$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c960.64$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.5459741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under27c943.75$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.545927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under4c895.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9923637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over60c834.72$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.721369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over60c822.59$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.683450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under27c776.4$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8529746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under28c739.91$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2540350.9%205 W · 198 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Under52c716.35$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.763050%15 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63b0…4cf2backed Under29c679.19$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1961435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over72c665.66$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.326047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over73c606.43$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.341060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over50c593.39$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under19c591.07$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.939743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over66c514.6$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.491258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over74c500$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14029138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over63c476.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9513234.1%45 W · 87 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under29c462$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.476844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Over67c451.01$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.015024%12 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.963764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over74c405.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.71861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over50c400.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.784957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under38c370$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.41747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under30c352.79$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1934342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under27c340.13$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7860748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under29c306.72$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5922356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under28c305.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8515038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Over73c300$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.83167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under33c290.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.79966.7%66 W · 33 L+13.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over72c280$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.685358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over72c275.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.992857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+24.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over73c274.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.41973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f42…416fbacked Under27c271$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…0693backed Under27c267$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over55c265.28$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.957861.5%48 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under27c261$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4720644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0558…fee1backed Under27c260$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d8…c9c2backed Over73c251$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ccd…ec51backed Over73c243$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over67c223.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.071172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over73c220$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.314766%31 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Over60c217.39$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.391533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a08…d02abacked Over73c205.76$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.761681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over73c205.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5612269.7%85 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+56.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Over62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.22615.4%4 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over73c199.93$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3825659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x671d…c1c6backed Under41c182.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under36c176.21$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.342438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over73c171.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.412878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfc3…0d86backed Over73c163$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4f…75f2backed Over65c154.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.08955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over71c150$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6520667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over69c150$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0311360.2%68 W · 45 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under29c143.93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5912935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c51…d160backed Over73c141$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over72c139.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.661361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over73c137.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.172755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over73c137.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.173482.4%28 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a43…3898backed Over73c137.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.997667.1%51 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over74c135.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.329058.9%53 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over60c134.14$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.818368.7%57 W · 26 L+13.8wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under27c123.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7317045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under27c119.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.139842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over69c116.12$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.124052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under27c109.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.995362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under27c109.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.975738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f9f…0540backed Under28c109.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over60c108.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3321443.9%94 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under26c107.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.19948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e59…c102backed Over66c106.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Over73c105.91$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.339144%40 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…8151backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4219856.6%112 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under29c99.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5510658.5%62 W · 44 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over68c98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.461747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over73c92.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.026068.3%41 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Under12c90$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.355125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under28c89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.929748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under28c82.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1420643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaff…1822backed Over73c80.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.981553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over63c79.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.493839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7536…17fcbacked Over64c78.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.251060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.