Champions League · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0fd5e67fc15160c481ac0f3bd4a126736e6c9bb1136e44e7b626b1610d7bf07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof FC Bayern München, Atalanta BC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,196 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atalanta BC | 69c | 5,956$4,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,113.99 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 1,670$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 1,629$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.26 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Atalanta BC | 70c | 1,392$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.82 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.67 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 1,093$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.05 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 961.24$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.87 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Atalanta BC | 70c | 852.33$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.63 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 766.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.67 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked FC Bayern München | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Atalanta BC | 71c | 570.78$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.81 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 566.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.67 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed FC Bayern München | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 484.72$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.3 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atalanta BC | 50c | 458.64$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Atalanta BC | 71c | 419$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.49 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdc…a29fbacked FC Bayern München | 36c | 414.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 37cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed Atalanta BC | 71c | 406.59$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.68 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 393.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.33 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…36debacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 287.77$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.44 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Atalanta BC | 72c | 233.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked FC Bayern München | 29c | 200$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 174.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.49 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 174$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked FC Bayern München | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Atalanta BC | 72c | 166.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…c557backed FC Bayern München | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.30per pick | 28cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 148.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…9372backed FC Bayern München | 32c | 143.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed FC Bayern München | 31c | 139$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked FC Bayern München | 29c | 133.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 130.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Atalanta BC | 67c | 127.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x827e…de16backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 114.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e2a4backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 109.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Atalanta BC | 10c | 104.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 99.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…c1a7backed FC Bayern München | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Atalanta BC | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4293…792fbacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x763e…78a0backed FC Bayern München | 29c | 82.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FC Bayern München | 62c | 82.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Atalanta BC | 36c | 76.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 71.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Atalanta BC | 68c | 67.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked FC Bayern München | 29c | 67.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 66.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…336dbacked FC Bayern München | 34c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed FC Bayern München | 29c | 57.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…ea3fbacked FC Bayern München | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…dbe9backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Atalanta BC | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf29d…2d25backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Atalanta BC | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atalanta BC | 71c | 47.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Atalanta BC | 71c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed FC Bayern München | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Bayern München | 61c | 44.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 42.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Atalanta BC | 65c | 42.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…5493backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 38.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Atalanta BC | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked FC Bayern München | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Atalanta BC | 70c | 29.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Atalanta BC | 71c | 26.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…ce1bbacked Atalanta BC | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 67cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked Atalanta BC | 71c | 24.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Atalanta BC | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Atalanta BC | 70c | 17.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.