TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,791 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…c2a4backed Under70c15,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,500650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Over31c10,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.998740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under69c4,300$2,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,96738748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over30c2,477$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.5326047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c1,804$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.381,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over32c1,761$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.4813245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over33c1,550$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.59757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under68c1,494$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.872373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over28c1,249$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.55927.1%16 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over36c1,056$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.7946048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under71c1,032$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7323458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under68c999.98$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.996243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under42c952.14$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.261040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under58c751.56$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.934342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over79c677.52$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0820643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c666.63$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.351,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under51c622.49$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.673961.5%24 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Under49c619.48$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.831435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under10c599.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+259.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f18…9aa7backed Under10c599.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over41c514.34$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.817861.5%48 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.473450%17 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34020644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over42c476.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.128368.7%57 W · 26 L+13.8wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over31c446.96$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.5123637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Under51c439.12$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.322334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick9cpaid+483.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dc…a4a1backed Under10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x417e…85e4backed Under10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.363540%14 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c367.96$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2942438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under59c363.75$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.372250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under69c362.04$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8112935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under69c362$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7820042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under54c361$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.666844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Over30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.331533.3%5 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671d…c1c6backed Under57c330.33$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.66922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Under64c312.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009728.9%28 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Under10c307.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7740%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18620639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9107…46d6backed Over32c275.88$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.62339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb0…2ccebacked Under74c270.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003250%16 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Under78c256.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004165.9%27 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under68c248.87$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.232825%7 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9bce…a18cbacked Over64c247.23$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.81070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8531…5eccbacked Over61c243.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.961758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Over30c235.73$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.01955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over32c234.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.384259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+35.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0dba…c1a7backed Over32c234.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.38825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x295a…bdedbacked Over49c227.73$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over32c221.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.959034.4%31 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over28c203.57$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.575364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over29c202.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3615038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1585646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1163650%18 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over41c199.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over31c199.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9925659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under68c184.42$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7229746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over44c183.18$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9194…2ee1backed Under48c170$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+77.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over29c162.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5750247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under66c162.62$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3323947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under12c160$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191127.3%3 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick9cpaid+165.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under12c160$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+189.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Over36c156.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.824656.5%26 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over63c151.88$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7160136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5213349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked Over75c148.69$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.941172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Over34c147.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.415328.3%15 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under68c146$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.284141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over49c140$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.81747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under68c137.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.52941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb38c…5f11backed Over51c136.36$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.36580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x140c…f4b4backed Under68c129.85$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb22f…804dbacked Over46c126.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.09742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef0…402bbacked Over32c125.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.712245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8261…a3f1backed Over32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.287456.8%42 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc126…26c6backed Over42c115.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.051533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408742.5%37 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6911646.6%54 W · 62 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+99.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e3…b088backed Over29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.973043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80b3…e5d9backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732650%13 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under69c97.1$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4af4…f9e0backed Over52c93.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a17…048ebacked Over32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.751241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…bc92backed Over32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+61.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under69c91.4$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.073458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under59c90.9$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6312352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x095e…abc5backed Over32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.132433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Over32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.132948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Over22c78.12$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.934630.4%14 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.