Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb71cbfa65939ba9d659643cc427dacff4d0aaa2eab8e2ea1be5626c65442f7ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,791 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Under | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Over | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.99 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 69c | 4,300$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,967 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 30c | 2,477$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.53 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 1,804$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.38 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 32c | 1,761$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.48 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 33c | 1,550$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.5 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 68c | 1,494$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.87 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 28c | 1,249$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.5 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 1,056$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.79 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 71c | 1,032$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 68c | 999.98$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 42c | 952.14$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 58c | 751.56$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.9 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 79c | 677.52$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 666.63$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.35 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 51c | 622.49$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.67 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Under | 49c | 619.48$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 10c | 599.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +259.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed Under | 10c | 599.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 41c | 514.34$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.81 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 42c | 476.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 31c | 446.96$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.51 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Under | 51c | 439.12$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +483.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…a4a1backed Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 367.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.29 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 59c | 363.75$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 69c | 362.04$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 69c | 362$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 54c | 361$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…c1c6backed Under | 57c | 330.33$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Under | 64c | 312.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 10c | 307.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…46d6backed Over | 32c | 275.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb0…2ccebacked Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Under | 78c | 256.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 68c | 248.87$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.23 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9bce…a18cbacked Over | 64c | 247.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8531…5eccbacked Over | 61c | 243.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Over | 30c | 235.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…c1a7backed Over | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x295a…bdedbacked Over | 49c | 227.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Over | 32c | 221.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.95 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 28c | 203.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 29c | 202.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 256 | 59.8%153 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 68c | 184.42$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 44c | 183.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…2ee1backed Under | 48c | 170$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 29c | 162.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 66c | 162.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 9cpaid | +165.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +189.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 36c | 156.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 63c | 151.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Over | 75c | 148.69$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Over | 34c | 147.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 68c | 146$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 49c | 140$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 68c | 137.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…5f11backed Over | 51c | 136.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140c…f4b4backed Under | 68c | 129.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…804dbacked Over | 46c | 126.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef0…402bbacked Over | 32c | 125.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…26c6backed Over | 42c | 115.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…97e5backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…b088backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b3…e5d9backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 69c | 97.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Over | 52c | 93.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…048ebacked Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…bc92backed Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 69c | 91.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 59c | 90.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…abc5backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Over | 22c | 78.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.