TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa79…f645

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
188
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT3923.1%9 W · 30 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-47.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.21
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.76
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$779.92
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,171.99
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$659
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+190.2%+$2,472.73
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$630
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,050
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$815.21
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$725
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Wigan Athletic FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$451
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$301
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+107.1%+$3,212.26
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$782.84
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,894.95
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3625%9 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.82
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$705.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.73
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 1 Galatasaray SK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 2 Galatasaray SK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$700
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$536.67
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$750
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,705.26
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+426.3%+$1,257.63
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$702
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$299
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,999Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+116.7%+$2,332.78
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+374.4%+$3,730.55
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT3551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.17
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.48
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$150.45
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$222.13
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.62
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.64
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$530.44
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$327.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,512Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$2,087.64
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$1,079.27
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$255.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$760
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+733.3%+$733.33
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+91.7%+$811.67
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$501
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$501
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+197.1%+$1,971.37
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+220.9%+$662.81
Will Málaga CF vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+180.5%+$361.01
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,041Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$611.33
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.17
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.36
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.92
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.53
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$882
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$958.9
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+105.2%+$525.82
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,584Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+284.6%+$4,507.34
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$725
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$199
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,753Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,753.24
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$192.38
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,605
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+150%+$450
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,627Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,693.08
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$859Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+55.7%+$478.59
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,001
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$573.42
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.09
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.6
Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.41
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$750
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$265.5
Will AZ win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$443.4
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+172%+$516.03
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,497Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$3,496.73
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,705Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,705
Will PAOK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$510
All 20 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$550
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$745
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$312.24
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$320.31
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+104.7%+$558
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+110.8%+$592.6
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$501
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-77.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Union · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$491
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.