Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa7c567f693bf4a3add551d9282a024a51a258db61290e0b3162cd6e0cb9c748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,475 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 4,120$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 42c | 1,499$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.65 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 49c | 1,026$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.82 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 79c | 1,006$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 46c | 784.36$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.65 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 53c | 781.24$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.27 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 53c | 757.28$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 47c | 724.38$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.92 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 47c | 649.81$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.4 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 634.43$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.47 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…2bb7backed No | 55c | 600.63$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 46c | 479.57$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.37 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 47c | 442.81$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…48e3backed No | 21c | 400$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +969.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed No | 20c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 51c | 333.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 54c | 248.15$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 51c | 245.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 51c | 241.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed No | 13c | 215.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes | 47c | 212.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 52c | 149.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 45c | 130.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +126%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170f…095bbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 48c | 99.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed No | 18c | 94.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked No | 55c | 85.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…45c2backed Yes | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 44c | 65.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…f67dbacked No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…a753backed Yes | 48c | 39.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…caa0backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 53c | 28.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…f871backed Yes | 47c | 28.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Yes | 47c | 28.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa240…6300backed No | 54c | 27.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 54c | 25.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed No | 55c | 22.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 47c | 22.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 53c | 20.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed No | 54c | 20.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed No | 56c | 20.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…fdedbacked No | 53c | 19.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.