Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5367778a4714dfd5d91e3069b8765f6e2b63a1027cbbd710169a8163ad5ffd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cagliari Calcioof Como 1907, Cagliari Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,934 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Como 1907 | 33c | 3,084$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.57 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cagliari Calcio | 68c | 1,728$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.76 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Como 1907 | 61c | 1,509$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.35 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Cagliari Calcio | 65c | 1,250$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.5 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Como 1907 | 33c | 1,011$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.23 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cagliari Calcio | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cagliari Calcio | 40c | 586.63$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.98 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Como 1907 | 37c | 540.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Cagliari Calcio | 52c | 519.66$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.81 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cagliari Calcio | 63c | 488.94$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.94 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Como 1907 | 21c | 422.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…b77abacked Como 1907 | 34c | 412.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Como 1907 | 36c | 390$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9324…1858backed Como 1907 | 34c | 378.52$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…618ebacked Como 1907 | 34c | 358.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Como 1907 | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Cagliari Calcio | 62c | 298.73$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…d8acbacked Como 1907 | 35c | 296.35$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Cagliari Calcio | 65c | 252.4$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 243$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 222.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Como 1907 | 36c | 195$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Como 1907 | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…55cdbacked Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 151.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cagliari Calcio | 36c | 148.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…119dbacked Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 147.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce2…40bcbacked Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 143.73$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…ef34backed Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 143.34$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…3253backed Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 132.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Cagliari Calcio | 63c | 132.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Como 1907 | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530a…4961backed Como 1907 | 38c | 130.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ab…b99ebacked Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 120.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f7…d191backed Cagliari Calcio | 66c | 118.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a28…c488backed Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 117.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…086abacked Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 116.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5b…0b53backed Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 114.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…cc2cbacked Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 108.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Cagliari Calcio | 37c | 106.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Como 1907 | 40c | 102.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Como 1907 | 38c | 100.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Como 1907 | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Como 1907 | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x122d…bcb1backed Cagliari Calcio | 66c | 97.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Como 1907 | 36c | 97.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Como 1907 | 36c | 97.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Cagliari Calcio | 64c | 91.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Como 1907 | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…3557backed Cagliari Calcio | 66c | 80.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cagliari Calcio | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cagliari Calcio | 63c | 66.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Cagliari Calcio | 78c | 65.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Como 1907 | 36c | 50.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Como 1907 | 20c | 50.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Como 1907 | 37c | 47.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Cagliari Calcio | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Como 1907 | 44c | 43.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Cagliari Calcio | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Como 1907 | 27c | 38.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Como 1907 | 41c | 35.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Como 1907 | 52c | 35.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Como 1907 | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Como 1907 | 37c | 27.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 25.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 24.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Cagliari Calcio | 44c | 24.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cagliari Calcio | 78c | 23.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Como 1907 | 59c | 22.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Como 1907 | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Como 1907 | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Cagliari Calcio | 67c | 16.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.