Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe38a9dfb846f4fed08658f89836d944c37b0490971eea3d06d31a68045754dce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,526 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 7,577$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.92 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.03 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.92 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 1c | 1,762$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +275%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 1,515$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.74 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 66c | 1,500$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.85 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…bfd6backed Under | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 45c | 1,310$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.66 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Under | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 48c | 1,088$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.86 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Under | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 47c | 813.37$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.57 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…0014backed Over | 64c | 793.84$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 51c | 709.2$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 66c | 647.47$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.11 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 624.66$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.94 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 588.44$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.91 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bce…869dbacked Under | 61c | 538.56$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 47c | 407.62$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.14 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…ef8bbacked Over | 61c | 396.13$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 392.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.35 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Under | 53c | 348$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 56c | 314.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.74 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 47c | 276.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 52c | 260.14$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.53 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed Under | 15c | 247.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 243.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…48e3backed Under | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +969.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 42c | 234.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 52c | 219.93$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 48c | 219.04$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.04 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…5d96backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…30b5backed Over | 48c | 198.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 22c | 198.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…94b9backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…207abacked Under | 53c | 190.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Under | 53c | 181.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 61c | 178.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…75abbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 160.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 153.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 35c | 153$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.45 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 52c | 150.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…8db8backed Under | 53c | 144.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…7e2fbacked Over | 48c | 136.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 129.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 120.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 24c | 113$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…2d2bbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 60c | 104.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 53c | 103.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 103.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…bf33backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Under | 53c | 85.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 13c | 79.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +126%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 68c | 74.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Over | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 48c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 24cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…e7e3backed Under | 50c | 60.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…f731backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 66c | 59.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf355…5ab7backed Over | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.