TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc88c…f67d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$15.86
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.66
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Czechia vs. South Africa: Czechia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will Serbia win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$5.72
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+89.2%+$89.15
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.6
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9.86
Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25%+$5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+25%+$4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$138.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.