MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35e647374ca0a70f3cd2acf0b2a12a47f8b9da40b54dad7b35cafe653f13a221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked LG Twins | 65c | 1,733$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.36 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 1,410$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 869.88$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.04 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed LG Twins | 78c | 702.83$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.21 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked LG Twins | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed LG Twins | 64c | 447.16$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.6 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 52c | 365$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 34c | 346$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.36 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Doosan Bears | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked LG Twins | 32c | 291.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Doosan Bears | 41c | 230.87$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LG Twins | 63c | 230.23$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Doosan Bears | 34c | 203.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…b36abacked LG Twins | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 149.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed LG Twins | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Doosan Bears | 35c | 134.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 128.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed LG Twins | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LG Twins | 49c | 109.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed LG Twins | 63c | 109.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768d…d230backed Doosan Bears | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked LG Twins | 64c | 93.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Doosan Bears | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed LG Twins | 63c | 81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed LG Twins | 62c | 75.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked LG Twins | 54c | 74.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…bda7backed Doosan Bears | 70c | 71.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed LG Twins | 61c | 64.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 63.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…3592backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 54.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked LG Twins | 71c | 53.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Doosan Bears | 22c | 53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed LG Twins | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed LG Twins | 61c | 42.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed LG Twins | 63c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LG Twins | 28c | 41.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8883…67cebacked Doosan Bears | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed LG Twins | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e06…42f0backed LG Twins | 45c | 31.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 28.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88c…f67dbacked LG Twins | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 22.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 65c | 20.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.