TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c2f…bda7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigersbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.32
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.34
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$158.46
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$69.87
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$122.24
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giantsbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.39
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$161.98
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$106.67
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$65.88
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$106.48
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.16
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$63.5
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.55
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$68.96
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.63
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.4
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bearsbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$44.3
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$61.88
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$124.74
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.13
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$69.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+32%+$44.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$37.33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.