Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9d0665f898dde2df8551360a05921580b83659c16cffc5b11bb207e7acb831c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 42c | 677.48$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.64 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…4e20backed Under | 36c | 545.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 64c | 487.67$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.11 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 66c | 487.66$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.86 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 62c | 306.87$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…bda7backed Over | 71c | 207.4$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 56c | 183.86$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 42c | 156.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 60c | 121.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Over | 43c | 104.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 44c | 103.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Under | 58c | 96.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 21c | 86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Under | 57c | 76.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Under | 31c | 62.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 45c | 54.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 117 | 70.1%82 W · 35 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Over | 47c | 40.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 74c | 39.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Over | 62c | 38.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Under | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 75c | 26.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 49c | 25.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 56c | 20.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.