MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86f6cb0275992a0047cba25323e117f404c0a328f5766f7878803385146d68d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,258,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,346,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,258,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 310,000$124,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185,999.84 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 169,748$101,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,848.91 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 98,453$45,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,473.91 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…14f1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 92,000$69,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,319.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 67,460$40,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,475.71 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 59,167$35,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,500 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 58,702$30,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,337.11 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed San Diego Padres | 7c | 44,980$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.96 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 43,945$28,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,396.17 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 35,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,999.98 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 33,702$20,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,300 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 32,218$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 28,923$10,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,510.45 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 28,110$10,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,187.26 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 24,090$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 21,922$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.1 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 19,696$7,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,073.32 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 19,520$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,073.77 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 18,757$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,441.74 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked San Diego Padres | 15c | 13,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 12,361$6,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,384.17 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 12,050$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350.37 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 11,369$7,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,784.92 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 11,246$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,746.1 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 11,240$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,778.23 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 10,431$6,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.2 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 9,713$3,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,702.26 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 8,907$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.41 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 8,744$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.52 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 8,271$5,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,021.02 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres | 22c | 8,013$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.94 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 7,605$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.8 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 7,500$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.94 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…3f0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 7,473$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 5,926$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.33 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 5,896$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.17 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 5,769$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,519.09 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 4,254$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.68 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 3,903$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.27 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 3,759$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.23 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked San Diego Padres | 65c | 3,666$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,371.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 3,501$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.3 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 3,389$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.48 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 3,304$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 3,200$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.44 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…07f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 3,177$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.96 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 2,944$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.96 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 2,787$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 2,767$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.44 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 2,681$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.86 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.99 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,300$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.73 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 2,274$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.15 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…00e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,020$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,795$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.93 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 1,755$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.66 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 1,656$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,625$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.45 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,342$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.58 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,340$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.7 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 1,310$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…b1b1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,285$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 1,242$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.39 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed San Diego Padres | 12c | 1,223$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.73 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed San Diego Padres | 63c | 1,204$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 1,198$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.56 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 1,171$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.73 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 1,099$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.02 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 1,025$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.34 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked San Diego Padres | 24c | 1,002$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.61 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked San Diego Padres | 12c | 999.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 950.2$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.62 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…0afebacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 918.03$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked San Diego Padres | 74c | 908.92$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 906.6$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.02 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 899.09$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.46 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 890.53$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.13 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…0caabacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 842.41$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed San Diego Padres | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 809.72$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked San Diego Padres | 61c | 806$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.66 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked San Diego Padres | 13c | 794.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 787.49$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.96 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked San Diego Padres | 39c | 770.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 770$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.7 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 747.82$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.89 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 738.62$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.17 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego PadresYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.