MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf760e0f745028ea4a47b16db8d4a426cd34bce2f70e736e0a4af1fd476f43f44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $470,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 61,465$35,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,578 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 52,500$26,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,774.92 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 38,128$18,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,445.24 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 31,067$15,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,844.37 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 28,816$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,816.42 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 20,584$6,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,940.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 14,929$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,613.57 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 13,000$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 12,924$6,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,537.1 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 12,654$6,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,427.12 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 12,621$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.23 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 8,216$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.47 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 5,564$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.24 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 5,512$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 5,402$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.93 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 5,088$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.34 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 4,979$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.55 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 4,817$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.67 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 4,743$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.87 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 4,166$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.24 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,954$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.05 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 3,736$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 3,025$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.51 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 3,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 2,904$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.58 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Boston Red Sox | 37c | 2,547$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.36 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 2,383$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.76 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,305$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 2,147$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.05 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.98 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,804$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.71 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,800$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 1,658$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.66 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Boston Red Sox | 1c | 1,636$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 1,632$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.97 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,545$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.9 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,520$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 1,461$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.36 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 1,406$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,329$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.88 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,291$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.78 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…3c0cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 1,285$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.01 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 1,247$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.22 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,239$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,209$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.59 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 1,186$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.83 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 1,154$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,149$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.85 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,120$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.22 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,117$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.31 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox | 20c | 1,077$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,072$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.69 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,022$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.23 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 964.7$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 864$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 842$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.42 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2445…ff62backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 799.98$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…b501backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 700$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 652.98$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.08 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Boston Red Sox | 31c | 640.42$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.94 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Boston Red Sox | 21c | 608.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 600.21$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.1 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 576.92$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.49 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…0b92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 557.75$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 556.18$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 542.73$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Boston Red Sox | 9c | 536.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 525$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 505.44$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.33 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 45c | 503.2$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 495.49$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.79 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 457.65$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…c05cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 450$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 437.34$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.09 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 416.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.6 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…691dbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 416.13$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 412.26$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 406.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.17 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 406.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.12 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 404.03$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.94 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…0ddfbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…c3b9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 374.87$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.94 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.