TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,035 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c11,934$5,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,890.6811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over50c9,500$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,75011952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under50c6,962$3,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,446.644,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over51c6,214$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,044.817248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over46c4,577$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.92,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c4,388$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.3510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994b…c047backed Over51c3,380$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.24257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,864$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.925,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over52c1,523$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.048441.7%35 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under50c1,511$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.5747350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under49c1,372$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.632,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb97…7ae1backed Under11c1,262$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.248534.1%29 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Over51c1,166$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.276845.6%31 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55070744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under25c1,008$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under49c999.97$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.9861352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over49c889.35$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.4686653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over53c693$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.683,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over52c618.4$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.431,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Under61c599.82$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.94245.2%19 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Under54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over50c544$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27275049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under49c530.21$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.6955052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24595850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over51c499$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3973748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under4c477.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over39c451.13$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.346,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c439.73$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.251,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under19c414.45$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1694034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c379.58$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.796,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c325$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16977050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Over52c304.71$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.266346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under50c283.24$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6299744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under8c279.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.175,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over48c265.04$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.821,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under49c229.56$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4877951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over51c219.49$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5528154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under5c216$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9155847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59dd…7cffbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee4…c3b9backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008959.6%53 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Under31c181.35$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0888053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over48c159.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.221851.4%112 W · 106 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under50c150$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.58,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7044348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under38c134.72$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4282551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over78c123.59$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.192,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3848150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over68c104$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2867742.2%286 W · 391 L-36.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over39c102.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.646,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4984651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4954146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0571…c3c3backed Over43c97.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under49c82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1821353.5%114 W · 99 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under51c80.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.82,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under53c71.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3836157.9%209 W · 152 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3148651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Over51c62.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.455250%26 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over51c61.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1130048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3072247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Under41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.69641.7%40 W · 56 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8241249.5%204 W · 208 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Under53c57.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3584140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under24c56.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.411,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under49c53.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8822849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over50c50.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3721944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over51c49.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over50c49.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.811749.6%58 W · 59 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0826351.3%135 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x546d…fb25backed Over49c46.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Over69c44.74$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8737143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over59c42.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5178052.2%407 W · 373 L+22.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c42.65$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.183,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed Over51c42.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.838560%51 W · 34 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa17e…cfcdbacked Over73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under52c39.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.839553.7%212 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over52c38.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5520362.6%127 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over48c37.62$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5940148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c36.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2129752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over49c35.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.282,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Over45c35.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3615349.7%76 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over51c33.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4438352.2%200 W · 183 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1710…426ebacked Over51c33.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…95dbbacked Under50c32.24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Over76c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6817460.3%105 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ac…2096backed Over79c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.726851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb21…3138backed Over52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.886947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c30.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.811,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1514358.7%84 W · 59 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51e3…637bbacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc96b…438abacked Over52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8527452.6%144 W · 130 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2372648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Over50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.57055.7%39 W · 31 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Over80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0824554.7%134 W · 111 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7701…6ea2backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.417051.8%88 W · 82 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over59c17.29$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0962554.2%339 W · 286 L+23.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.