MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb68e415d4bee64bca8a8e5d68bb0a984b07342f4331727de1f7b02f90a4604ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 11,934$5,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,890.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 50c | 9,500$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,750 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 50c | 6,962$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.64 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 51c | 6,214$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.8 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 4,577$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.9 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 4,388$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Over | 51c | 3,380$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.2 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,864$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.92 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 52c | 1,523$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.04 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 50c | 1,511$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.57 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 1,372$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.63 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Under | 11c | 1,262$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Over | 51c | 1,166$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.27 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 25c | 1,008$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 49c | 999.97$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.98 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 49c | 889.35$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.46 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 53c | 693$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.68 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 618.4$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.43 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed Under | 61c | 599.82$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.9 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 50c | 544$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 49c | 530.21$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.69 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 51c | 499$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.39 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 4c | 477.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 39c | 451.13$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.34 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 49c | 439.73$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.25 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 414.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 379.58$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.79 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 325$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Over | 52c | 304.71$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 50c | 283.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.62 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 8c | 279.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 265.04$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 49c | 229.56$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 51c | 219.49$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 5c | 216$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…7cffbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…c3b9backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 31c | 181.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Over | 48c | 159.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 38c | 134.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 78c | 123.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 68c | 104$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 39c | 102.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…c3c3backed Over | 43c | 97.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 51c | 80.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Over | 51c | 62.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 51c | 61.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Under | 53c | 57.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 24c | 56.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 49c | 53.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 50c | 50.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 50c | 49.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…fb25backed Over | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Over | 69c | 44.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 59c | 42.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 42.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Over | 51c | 42.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Over | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 52c | 39.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 48c | 37.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 36.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 35.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Over | 45c | 35.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 51c | 33.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1710…426ebacked Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…95dbbacked Under | 50c | 32.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Over | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Over | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 30.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e3…637bbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 59c | 17.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.