TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdda3…95db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.15
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Federico Cina vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Damir Dzumhur vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Martina Trevisan vs. Talia Gibson: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+170.1%+$32.09
Shymkent 2: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alexandr Bindabacked Petr Bar Biryukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.94
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.28
Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Moez Echarguibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.12
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$5.61
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.28
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.92
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+62.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$10.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.