NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48149b32e7de438e0154a6d8e881bfd4bae1ed74f43b02609c0b1921e8bccaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $568,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $596,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers | 49c | 99,222$48,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,531.85 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Rockets | 49c | 95,079$46,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,436.95 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Lakers | 54c | 70,139$37,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,285.29 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 51c | 64,941$32,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,919.95 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Lakers | 51c | 46,663$23,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,864.66 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 46c | 43,473$19,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,981.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Rockets | 52c | 40,551$21,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,006.24 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Rockets | 52c | 22,979$11,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,949.18 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Rockets | 44c | 22,292$9,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,795.31 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 51c | 19,736$10,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,669.27 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Rockets | 40c | 19,130$7,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,625.41 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Lakers | 53c | 15,247$8,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,166.95 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 55c | 15,104$8,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,870.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Lakers | 58c | 14,493$8,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,087.09 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Lakers | 66c | 12,831$8,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,363.5 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets | 52c | 12,499$6,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,549.48 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Lakers | 62c | 11,832$7,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496.21 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Lakers | 52c | 10,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Lakers | 52c | 9,712$5,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,661.76 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Rockets | 46c | 8,661$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.89 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Rockets | 39c | 8,523$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.55 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Rockets | 47c | 8,073$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Lakers | 55c | 7,456$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.31 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 47c | 7,366$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.15 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Rockets | 46c | 6,590$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.49 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 53c | 5,975$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Rockets | 46c | 5,519$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.99 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 62c | 5,305$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.49 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Lakers | 59c | 4,876$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.97 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Lakers | 47c | 4,841$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.73 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…9789backed Lakers | 48c | 4,804$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Lakers | 54c | 4,532$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.03 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Lakers | 62c | 3,939$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.72 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers | 59c | 3,918$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.84 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lakers | 53c | 3,887$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.98 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Lakers | 50c | 3,840$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.07 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lakers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Rockets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Lakers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Rockets | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Rockets | 46c | 2,471$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.85 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Lakers | 54c | 2,451$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.12 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Lakers | 50c | 2,425$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.41 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Rockets | 46c | 2,195$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.48 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Rockets | 47c | 2,067$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.3 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Lakers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Lakers | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.82 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Rockets | 47c | 1,633$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.5 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers | 49c | 1,626$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Rockets | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Rockets | 34c | 1,545$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.92 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Lakers | 53c | 1,461$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Rockets | 44c | 1,303$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.19 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Lakers | 56c | 1,226$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.34 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Rockets | 48c | 1,029$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Rockets | 46c | 1,025$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.34 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lakers | 48c | 1,003$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.35 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b3…eeaebacked Lakers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +327.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Lakers | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Rockets | 45c | 999.96$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Rockets | 45c | 999.93$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.97 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Rockets | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Rockets | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Rockets | 39c | 921.41$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.35 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lakers | 48c | 905.84$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.38 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Lakers | 53c | 887.13$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Rockets | 50c | 839.39$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.16 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…b757backed Lakers | 59c | 832$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.42 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…5350backed Rockets | 46c | 824.56$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.3 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Rockets | 47c | 815.55$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.31 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Rockets | 53c | 657.86$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.47 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Lakers | 50c | 646.02$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.01 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Lakers | 52c | 643.75$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.55 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Lakers | 50c | 628.56$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.28 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Lakers | 51c | 579.22$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.82 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Rockets | 45c | 563.17$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.43 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Lakers | 49c | 513.19$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.22 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Lakers | 47c | 505.66$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Lakers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a03…279abacked Rockets | 37c | 498.58$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Lakers | 55c | 497.49$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.87 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Lakers | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9803…719abacked Lakers | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Rockets | 36c | 467.16$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.18 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Lakers | 48c | 459.39$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.06 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Lakers | 49c | 452.86$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Lakers | 52c | 426.37$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Lakers | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Rockets | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Lakers | 62c | 381.76$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.07 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8072…0ef3backed Rockets | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Lakers | 48c | 366.3$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Lakers | 54c | 356.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.01 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…63bbbacked Lakers | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…b36abacked Lakers | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Rockets | 48c | 330.46$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Rockets | 41c | 322.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.15 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Lakers | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Lakers vs. RocketsLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5Over won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.